# v3vearly live pull policy: interim (analyst1, 18 Oct) - final rule waits for shadow n>=20
Shadow (/opt/fm_mirror/wl_v3vearly.db): n=7 closed, 4 pulls (0x, held 29-547 s), 3 trail wins (2.02, 5.11, 7.83), mean 2.14. n<20, so no final rule.
Break-even: winners avg ~5.0x, so the lane breaks even at ~20% win rate; 58% pulls (42% wins) is fine IF each pull is a clean -1x and size stays small.
Interim proposal (for exec/manager, applies to Go-live):
1. Do NOT use "pause after 1 pull" on this lane (pulls are the expected cost; it would never trade).
2. Lane-level stop = D-051: 3 PULLS IN A ROW with zero trail win between them AND rolling 10-trade mean < 0.6 -> pause, tell Ben. (P(3 pulls in a row) at 58% = 20%, so use the mean check too.)
3. Fixed small size ($5-10), no scaling until 30 real trades; drift check at 15 real.
4. Finalise at n>=20: re-run pull share + mean; if pull share >70% or mean <1.2, no Go-live.