# #2053 Miss list 11 Oct runners (analyst3, 12 Oct)
Source: radar.jsonl crossings 11 Oct 00:00-18:54 UTC >=3M (47 tokens), mc5.db (/opt/fm_mirror), v2trig outputs. review/misses.csv ends at born 10 Oct (no 11 Oct rows yet), so I built the list from radar. Script ms1.py ms2.py.

## 41 of 47 are artifacts (born-at-price jumps, cap_first >= 3M at age 0, depth 0-100 USD, stock/tokq quotes, v2 LP drains 1e9). Not runners, not misses.

## Real organic runners >= 3M (nobody could buy a jump)
| token | venue | path (UTC) | bought? | why missed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TINYTAP 0x32a8b5 | v4 WETH hook H3000 | 300k 14:57 -> 1M 15:41 -> 3M 16:50 -> 5M 17:12 -> 10M 18:54 (33x from 300k) | no | hooked pools "not tradable" (hook registry gate, #12/#150 retired 11 Oct); mc5 watches fee-100 only |
| DIALN 0x5ebda7 | v4 WETH hook H3000 | 300k 04:28 -> 1M 05:19 -> 2M 06:09 | no | same |
| CPANC 0x67d7a7 | v4 WETH hook H3000 | 3M 06:02 (age 9 h, depth 290k, 10 senders) | no | same; late-age, no 300k entry seen in radar |
| TORCH 0x000050 | v4 native nohook fee 3000 | 2M 07:52 (age 13.5 h), 3M 08:17, depth 384k, 55 senders | no | 13 h old when it ran, wrong fee tier for mc5, no early-cap row; unforeseeable by age rules |
So 4 real 3M+ runners, 3 hooked H3000 (known gated, ledger #483/#479 already say hooked 300k at age 5-60 min P1M 62% / late 300k P1M 92%), 1 old native fee-3000.
Zero real 3M+ runners on 11 Oct on v3 or v4 fee-100, i.e. nothing mc5/fml2 could have taken and skipped. TINYTAP 3ad623 (native) was a 1.2M birth jump then 21M in 5 min with depth 4-15 USD = not sellable.

## v2 (0x8bce factory, A3-V2Q)
Radar real v2 climbs to 2M: Ollie 0x1379 (1M 01:46), INCOGNITO (1M 06:30), DOPE (2M 14:40, 6.6x from 300k); none reached the 8x trigger with reserve >= 2 WETH, so no triggers fired (only 1 trigger since v2trig started). The one trigger, pair 0x3158 (fired t+829 s at 8.2x, 2.87 WETH): peaked ~10.5x at 3.25 WETH, LP pulled at +1490 s (reserve -> 0.001). Entry after the 8x print leaves ~1.3x upside before the pull: supports sells_pre guard and a hard time/pull exit; it is not evidence for the tp5 replay (3.3) at n=1. No change; wait for 30 forward triggers.

## Lessons / what would have caught them
1. The only tradable-in-principle misses are hooked H3000 climbers (TINYTAP 33x, DIALN 6.7x+). Rule on file: ledger #483/#479. Blocked by hook gate, not by signal. If Ben ever lifts the gate, entry = first 300k cross at age 5-60 min with depth >= 20k.
2. Nothing in the not-watched pools (native/usdg nohook) except TORCH, a one-off.
3. Ask: reviewer to extend misses.csv to born 11 Oct so this table is automatic.