{"ts": 1791463025, "by_state": {"PEAKING": {"n": 24, "drop_first": 0.0, "rise_first": 0.0, "typical_24h": -0.0054}}, "by_risk": {"off": {"n": 24, "drop_first": 0.0, "rise_first": 0.0, "typical_24h": -0.0054}}, "note": "Study base rates 29 Aug to 2 Oct: drop first 56%, rise first 24%. PEAKING should show high drop_first, REHEATING high rise_first."}