{"ts":1791462720,"bkk":"08 Oct 19:32","state":"COOLING","risk":"off","macro":{"state":"COOLING","date":"08 Oct","index":0.206,"off_45d_high":-0.808,"index_vs_20d_avg":-0.218,"fell_40pct_recently":true,"btc_above_50d":true,"old_coins_waking_3d":4,"waking_normal_3d":4.0,"waking_needed_3d":12,"new_launch_crossings_3d":93,"fees_7d_vs_28d":0.52,"changes":[{"day":20650,"date":"16 Jul","from":"COLD","to":"TOO HOT","idx":10.485},{"day":20652,"date":"18 Jul","from":"TOO HOT","to":"COOLING","idx":10.484},{"day":20689,"date":"24 Aug","from":"COOLING","to":"HEATING","idx":0.612},{"day":20695,"date":"30 Aug","from":"HEATING","to":"TOO HOT","idx":0.971},{"day":20708,"date":"12 Sep","from":"TOO HOT","to":"COOLING","idx":0.563}],"rules":"v3 HEATING = coin index closes back above its 20 day average after a 40%+ fall, with BTC above its 50 day average. (Old rule, kept as receipt: old coins (3+ days old) waking past $500k (first time or revived after 3+ days under) at 3x their normal 3 day count (min 12) while index 40%+ under 45d high. TOO HOT = fees 7d > 1.5x 28d and new-launch crossings > 2x old ones.","extras":{"active_wallets_7d":322273,"active_wallets_60d_low":247327,"active_wallets_60d_high":714850,"wallets_vs_low":0.303,"users_capitulated":false,"deribit_funding_7d":0.00057,"rising_venue":"Uniswap V4","rising_venue_share":0.419,"rising_venue_share_prev":0.369,"venue_breakout":false},"ts":1791460448},"short_term_off":{"state":"PEAKING","S":0.961},"why":"The big run is over. Buy again only when coins climb back above their 20 day average (now -22% vs it) while BTC is above its 50 day average.","receipts":{"h":1791457200,"S":0.9613,"z_breadth":1.139,"z_b24":0.7737,"z_dd72":0.9712,"breadth":0.5025,"breadth6":0.4987,"breadth24":0.4977,"turn":0.001,"b24":0.0,"b168":-0.0603,"dd72":-0.0013,"ema200":-0.0392,"members":993,"coins_with_bars":993,"data_age_min":92.0,"raw_state":"PEAKING","flow24_buy_share":0.316,"flow24_buyers_vs_sellers":1.137,"flow24_coins":211,"fomo_fills":2064,"fomo_buyers":895,"fomo_fills_per_hour":4152,"escrow_eth":278477.51,"escrow_delta":0.44},"model":"chainbrain-v1.3-macro","stale_after":1791465420,"note":"If now > stale_after, treat risk as off."}