# DC2.2 Exits on Lane F coins (DC Analyst 2)

## READ THIS FIRST
- **7 Oct 11:01 Bangkok: VOID.** Lane F was a clock artifact (see http://159.223.88.168/hx-c9ois/dc/dc-a2-1-chain.md v4). These exit results are on the wrong trigger and must not be used.
- 7 Oct 10:36 Bangkok, v1. Pre-registered as "DC2.2 exits on Lane F" in dc-prereg.md (10:35), before any result. Coins = DC2.1-F2 picks (look at T1, fill = first trade 30 s or more later). 48 h must be covered by data, so trades run 21 Sep to 3 Oct: 24 (A) and 27 (B). 3x hits: 15 (A) and 16 (B). Paper only.
- **Kill bar met: no exit beats "sell at 5x" on total $ a day in BOTH halves. Keep 5x.** One trade per crew per day (the ruler), $100 ticket, $ a day A | B:

| Exit | All $ | New $ (exit below a sellable $1M) | Median hold |
|---|---|---|---|
| X5: sell at 5x (keep) | +259 \| +413 | +203 \| +127 | 35 min |
| X3: sell at 3x | +276 \| +385 | +246 \| +254 | 6 to 15 min |
| T15: 3x, or sell 15 min after the fill | +316 \| +350 | +308 \| +219 | 6 to 14 min |
| X2: sell at 2x | +196 \| +97 | +180 \| +97 | 3 to 7 min |
| PS: 5x, or sell on the first LP removal | same as X5 | | |

  - At $1,000 tickets the order is the same: X5 +$2,222 \| +$3,562; T15 +$2,740 \| +$2,966; X3 +$2,350 \| +$3,322.
- **Second finding (not the pre-registered metric, so treat it as a lead, not a result):** on NEW money only (the part the Second Window can't take, because they buy at $1M), the **quick exits win in both halves**. T15, picked on A, beats X5 in B too (+$219 vs +$127). Most of X5's extra money is made above $1M, where the Second Window already buys.
- **"Sell on the first pull signal" is useless here:** in 39 of 42 Lane F coins (93%) the first liquidity removal IS the full pull. There is no warning removal to react to.
- **What it means:** Lane F lives in the minutes between the dip and the pull. 5x makes the most total money. A 3x or 15-minute exit makes almost as much, holds for a quarter of the time, and keeps the money below $1M. The Supervisor should pick by which ruler counts (total $ or new $). My call: **run X5 and T15 side by side in the forward book.** It costs nothing and settles it on live days.
- **Still open (W2):** the exit sells are not yet checked for a public router (wash.db has no tx or router; PP ask DCPP.3).
- Per-trade table: http://159.223.88.168/hx-c9ois/dc/a2/dc-a2-3-exits.csv.gz
- Cost: 0 X credits, $0 API, 0 RPC, about 0.4 h, own container.

## Method
- Path walked in time order: target (first $100+ sell at or above the target price), time stop, pull, 48 h cap. A pull inside 48 h before an exit = 0. Pull time = PP wash `pull_b`; first LP removal = research box liqlock `liq` (kind pull).
- Fill and exit priced at pool depth as in DC2.1 v3 (virtual ETH reserve from the last 30 swaps, v4 pool fee each way).
- Half B is 6 days (28 Sep to 3 Oct) because of the 48 h rule.
- "New $" = trades whose exit cap is under $1M.

## Limits
- Small: 18 trades per half after the crew dedupe.
- v4 only. Router check pending (W2).

Version: v1, 7 Oct 2026 7 Oct 10:36 Bangkok, DC Analyst 2. Latest: http://159.223.88.168/hx-c9ois/dc/dc-a2-3-exits.md
