Which coins to buy inside a basket BUY. 3 Oct 2026 late, Bangkok.
Setup: every basket BUY from the live rule (v4.7) in 2019-22 and 2023-26. Pool = up to 50 coins of that basket's category on
CoinMarketCap (same chain and tags, $100k+ daily volume), so much wider than the 15 coins in the basket. Each coin held from the
BUY close to the basket's SELL close (vanished coins -50%). 20 features tested (feat.py: 1/3/7/14/30/90 day moves, distance to 30/90
day high and 30 day low, ATH, new high, volume surge, turnover, size, age, volatility, RSI, last run's result).
Consistent in both cycles: coins near their 30d high, calm (low volatility), not far above their 30d low, NOT up a lot over 90 days,
older listings. Short term momentum (7 day leaders) worked in 2020-21 and failed in 2023-26.
grid.py: 510 scores x 2 cycles. halves.py: chosen score = smallest 90 day gain + oldest listing, top 3:
 2019-22 halves +1686% / +136% vs random 3 median +691% / +113%, 3 strongest by 7d +1716% / +258% (worst -50%)
 2023-26 halves  +612% / +214% vs random 3 median +277% /  +17%, 3 strongest by 7d  +610% /  -51% (worst -61%)
 Worst drops -25 to -31% vs -44 to -52% for random picks. Hit rate of picking a top-20% runner: 23% vs 20% random (small).
Live: picks.py, picked once on the BUY day and kept until the basket sells; shown on risk-on cards and in BUY alerts.
