# a1-2048: liq-adder lens (ledger #505), data: chain/b0NN.db first liquidity add tx.from x e1x-runners-v2 P1M
Hunt: early entry (at/near pool creation), target tier $1M. Script: r3/liq.py, r3/an.py.
Join: first add (k 10/11/13, a>0) tx.from per pool -> 7,810 of 27,272 pools covered (v4 7007, v3 803; 21 Sep-9 Oct). Base P1M 21.7% (universe is already runner-heavy).
Signal: adder had >=1 earlier pool that crossed $1M BEFORE this pool was created (no look-ahead).
| half (by created time) | prior>=1 n / runners / rate | prior>=2 | prior0 rate |
| first | 1029 / 484 / 47.0% (2.2x) | 670 / 56.4% (2.6x) | 12.6% |
| second | 1412 / 570 / 40.4% (1.9x) | 999 / 45.9% (2.1x) | 11.2% |
Excluding router-like adders (>40 pools): 565 pools 48.1% / 922 pools 42.1% vs base 21.7%. 299 distinct adders, top10 = 29% of hits. v4 only (n2413): 42.8%.
Pass criteria pre-registered (2x lift, >=10 runners per half): PASSED. First-time adders are the inverse: 11-13% (0.5x), so it also works as a skip filter.
Caveats: coverage 29% of pools (those with a recorded first add in the db range); base is runner-biased; not yet checked: entry price/cap at the time the adder signal is known, outside sellers, MC at the add. P1M only, not $3M+.
Next: path sim at entry (first swaps after add) with tp/sl on pools with prior>=1; needs live adder tx.from at pool creation (ppfeeds).