# a1-2089: miss review 2026-10-10 (analyst1)
74 rows, 22 runners. mc5 (live): 14 NOT SEEN (all "not a v4 ETH pool fmmc5 watches"), 2 MISSED by cap rule (hoodcat $17M ATH cap $2.2M @5min; SIB $1.15M cap $1.1M), 1 MISSED roflmao (cap $116k, under $250k floor, ATH $1.09M).
Biggest NOT SEEN, all v4 pools without hook that fmmc5 does not watch:
- FMRGN 7.8M, CHNCHL 6.3M, HBLINU 3.7M, BRML 1.9M (v4 WETH no hook, fee3000/hooked)
- QQQ 4.75M, AAPL 4.4M, Paper 2.0M, zhongguoren 2.0M (v4 USDG/susd quote: stock/stable-quoted pools)
- OTLGR 3.6M, MGCMP 2.8M, ADWYR 2.8M, HIPPO 1.0M (hooked WETH/native). cap_first only 15-30k for MGCMP/ADWYR/HIPPO = early entry was possible.
- OP 1.4M pons_v2 graduate.
Radar class "jump" = first print already large (QQQ 4.75M, AAPL 4.4M, HBLINU 27.9M?): not catchable at an entry cap; "hooked" with small cap_first (MGCMP, ADWYR, HIPPO, ~15-30k) is the catchable cell.
Lesson: the biggest loss is venue coverage (v4 no-hook WETH + hooked + USDG), not rules. Roflmao: 116k < 250k floor, runner to 1.09M; floor is a rule miss, one case.
Next (what catches it): watch hooked v4 WETH/native pools with cap_first <100k (3 of 3 became $1M+ here, 2.8M/2.8M/1.0M). Needs ppfeeds count of such pools born that day for the base rate before any test. Not a paper idea yet: n=3, no denominator.