# A1 #218 partial: bundled launches (116 new) vs outcomes
Result: cannot confirm the BUNDLE35K cutoff yet. Only 46 of 116 new pools have a peak-cap outcome (e1x-runners, peakpons); the 70 missing are all pre-12 Sep (65) or r6 (5) pools.
Joined 16 on e1x: v3 fee100 n=8: 300k 100%, 1M 50%, 3M 12% (3 of 8 >=35k, same direction as old). v4 hook-0 and 8388608 n=8: 0 reach 300k (bundle there does not predict a run). Too small to conclude.
Old 167 (reference): bundle_usd <21.8k: 3M 5%; 21.8-28.4k 11%; 28.4-35k 29%; >=35k 47%.
Composition: new rows are mostly v4 (fee 0/2500, 95 of 116), a different venue from the old 155 v3-fee100. If the lift holds on v4 it widens the filter; untested.
Next: dataeng/ppdata to give peak cap (and first_300k/1M times) for the 70 pools in a1-218-need-outcomes.csv; then I run usd quartile x venue.
