# a1 #702/#706 (10 Oct)
## #706 creator age (creator_age.csv x e1x-runners-v2, 27,272 pools)
Creator wallet nonce at create tx vs peak cap (P1M / P3M):
- nonce<=2: n=7050  3.4% / 1.4%    nonce 3-5: n=2912 4.9% / 2.5%
- nonce 6-20: n=2083 15.7% / 9.2%  21-100: n=2190 18.2% / 9.7%   >100: n=13037 19.0% / 10.2%
- v3 only: >100 nonce 18.4%/12.0% vs <=20 ~3-5%. v4 same shape (1.8% at <=2 vs 19%).
- funder_kind: internal 11.8%, tx 13.6% -> no signal.
Use: NEGATIVE filter. Skip creators with nonce<=5 (about 37% of pools, 4% hit rate, vs 19% for older wallets). Not a standalone entry edge; no entry-multiple test done (base rates only, not pre-selected by cap crossing, so lift on already-300k pools is unverified). Next if wanted: apply nonce>5 to radar_hist 300k touchers and check P1M lift.
## #702 sellprobe.db
Just started (61 pools, 92/242 rows ok=0 = L=0 at tick, cannot see sell-blocking hooks). Too thin to test. Parked until >=2 days of rows; H3000 sellability still sellcross' job (#683 parked).