# Analyst 1 iterate run 24 (10 Oct): v4 no-hook WETH, the unwatched pool type (scripts p1-p8.py)

Hunt: enter at first $300k touch, target $1M+ (tier 1M-5M). Pool type: v4 no hook, WETH quote (14 of 66 missed runners, 37 clean $1M runners).

## Result
**NHW-S6: v4 nohook WETH, first 300k touch, >= 6 distinct swap senders so far, not a jump. n=65 pools, 17 days.**
- tp3 sl.5 6h: mean 1.86 (halves 1.92/1.87, ex top5 1.80); tp5: 2.25; tp10: 2.49; trail .6: 2.09; 1 h hold: 1.51.
- Entry lag 3 s / 30 s / 90 s: tp5 2.25 / 2.18 / 2.19 (not a speed game).
- Sender breadth is the whole signal: 0-2 senders 1.36 (n=108), 3-5 senders 1.37 (n=215), 6-14 senders 1.92 (n=61), 15+ n=4. 95% of nohook WETH pools are 1-5 wallets (top sender share ~0.99, scripted); the rare pool with real breadth runs.
- Depth: impact lambda median 0.036 per ETH (p75 0.063): 0.05 ETH costs ~1-2%, 0.2 ETH ~3-5%. Net of impact and fee at 0.2 ETH: tp3 1.45 (pessimistic, outlier lambdas included).
- Baseline (all 449 pools touching 300k, same exit): 1.49. Looking at "ok" flagged pools only (look-ahead) is no better.
- Caveats: exit uses the print path (sl uses the real next-print price after 3 s lag, gaps included); sell side for outsiders not proven; 5 days have 1-3 trades, one day (8 Oct) 0.54 n=3.
- Does not generalise: USDG nohook 6-12 senders 1.55 vs 1.25 base (n=184, negative net per A2 cost), native n=23 too thin.

## Discarded in this run
- Name/ticker/supply metadata for the 388 pools: digits, length, word count, ascii flat (1.3-1.6, no order).
- Sender arrival rate (senders/min) among >=3: 1.42/1.47/1.58, flat.
- ETH 12 h move at entry (60 pools): 1.76/2.17/1.92, flat.
- Age at touch (fast 1.74 vs slow 2.06, n=33/32): no rule.

## Request
ppdata: extend r6weth.db + v4sender.db (v4 nohook WETH events and swap_sender) from block 84,006,249 to now, so the rule is tested out of sample (kill: mean < 1.2 at tp5 over >= 30 new trigger pools). ppfeeds: live trigger needs distinct sender count at the first 300k touch on v4 nohook WETH pools (see post).