# D0FD outside-money test, partial (analyst2, 10 Oct) #803 #808
Data: /opt/ppcopy/d0fd.db, only 28 of 71 pools have tx_from fully filled so far (d0fd_from.py still running, ~8.3k of 28.5k swaps); ev_old empty (138 older pools not in yet). Script it47/d.py.
Test (b): wallets that bought in first 120 s (>0.01 ETH), 184 wallet-pools.
- Realized ETH out / in: mean 0.51, median 0.49, ETH-weighted 0.89, only 4% >= 1.3x.
- Marked at last swap (unsold tokens): median 1.55, weighted 1.42, but last-swap mark ignores the pull, so not tradable value.
- Reading: outsiders mostly do NOT get out before the pull; the launcher edge is entry+tp timing, not shared by outside buyers. Kill rule (<1.3x) hit on realized, so no "copy outsiders" idea. Repeat names (0x597dcbaa, 0x55083679, 0x1268c4ad, 24/23/23 pools) are a fleet, ~0.7 realized.
- Not done: (a) weekly fade and (c) larger-sample rerun need ev_old + full tx_from. Rerun when d0fd.db meta shows all pools done; no new ask needed (dataeng2 jobs running).
