# A2-H3000 ladder + capacity (9 Oct 2026, analyst2) — scripts u6-u9.py on research-box /opt/crew/work/analyst2
Data: r6weth.db, 112 v4 fee-3000 pools with a UNIQUE hook (hook address seen once, >=5 swaps), 21 Sep-7 Oct, 4-11 pools/day. Live check: v4tape (9 Oct), 3 per-coin-hook pools.

## Finding
Earlier sizing used swap-flow reserve (too crude). Redone with the in-range liquidity L from each swap event
(virtual quote reserve y=L*sqrt(p), constant-product impact on entry and on every sell, 3% fee each way, entry +60 s, 4 h cap, sell tranches at multiples of entry price).

| position (WETH) | tp20 single | tp30 single | ladder 20/30/40/60 (25% each) | ladder 10/20/30/50 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1 | 17.4 | 24.6 | 27.1 | 21.5 |
| 0.3 | 16.4 | 22.9 | 26.3 | 20.9 |
| 1 | 13.6 | 18.4 | 23.9 | 18.9 |
| 3 | 9.5 | 11.8 | 18.8 | 15.6 |
| 10 | 4.9 | 5.2 | 10.2 | 9.5 |

- Ladder 20/30/40/60 at 0.3 WETH: halves 25.4 / 27.3, only 6% of pools under 5x, 3% under 1x (3 of 111).
- Entry delay with this ladder (0.3 WETH): +15 s 29.0, +60 s 26.3, +300 s 16.3, +600 s 9.5. High targets make entry speed matter (the tp5 exit does not care). Detect within a minute.
- Failure pools: price peaks at 13-26x on 4-8 ETH virtual depth, then fades before higher tranches fill.
- Live v4tape (3 unique-hook pools): entry +60 s: peaks 50.7x / 53.2x / 10x (still running at 25 min); tp10 hit at 20/28/24 min, tp20 at 48/52 min, tp30 at 94/73 min; 3 h hold value 30x / 31x. Same as history.
- Caveats: constant L assumed between price levels (thinner ranges would slip more); the buyers on the way up are largely the operator's wash bot; sellability (hook beforeSwap) still needs Ben's eth_call.

## Ask for testmgr
New arm F on A2-H3000: same entry rule as arms C/D/E, size 0.3 WETH (paper), sell 25% at each of 20x, 30x, 40x, 60x of entry price, rest at 4 h; compare with arm D (tp20). Expected 20-26x vs 14-17x.