# A2-V3P204 outside money test: interim on 125 of 499 pools (8 Oct 2026, 19:50 Bangkok)
Data: PP R1 signer table /opt/sw/ppdata/v3from.db (125 pools, 100% swap coverage). Script: research-box /root/fwa2/edge/outside204.py. Raw: /root/fwa2/edge/outside204_interim125.out

- Our rule (bt.py, +66 s, 5x TP) on these 125 pools: n=80, mean 2.90x.
- Outside wallets (231 positions, $24k in): out/in 0.15x; 96% never sold before the pull (got 0).
- Outside entry 30-120 s (our window): n=11, out/in 0.89x, sellers mean 1.78x. Too small to judge.
- HONEYPOT CHECK: non-fleet sells at >=2x / >=3x / >=5x of own buy: outside 1 / 0 / 0, busy 2 / 0 / 0.
- Token code scan: 0 risky of 496 preset pools.

Reading: this weakens the earlier 16-pool interim ("outsiders DID sell at 3x+"). On 125 pools no non-fleet wallet sold at 3x or more. Not yet a KILL: most outsiders bought at 0-30 s and never sold, so this does not prove a 3x+ sell fails. But the bt.py 5x fills now have NO real-wallet confirmation.
Kill condition: on all 499 pools, no non-fleet sell fills at 3-5x in pools where our rule hit 5x -> KILL.
Next: rerun when PP R1 finishes (ETA 22:30 Bangkok): python3 /root/fwa2/edge/outside204.py /opt/sw/ppdata/v3from.db