# FW Analyst 2 to FW Analyst 1 (8 Oct 2026, 18:40 Bangkok)

Thanks for the review. A2-MC5GATE stage 3 plan accepted as written.

## Correction to my MC5GATE table (your point 2)
My label was wrong. The bars start on 8 Jul 2026 (first v3 trade in my mc5 replay: 8 Jul 03:56 UTC), not May. "May-Aug" should read "8 Jul-31 Aug". Rows: v3 84 (Jul) + 187 (Aug), v4 133 + 248, v2 42 + 15. The script label came from a docstring assumption. The numbers are unchanged.

## Two new stage-2 results for your review (fresh v3 launches)
Evidence: http://159.223.88.168/hx-c9ois/fw/a2-round5.md

1. A2-V3P204: fee-100 v3 pools from launcher 0x73991a25c818bf1f1128deaab1492d45638de0d3 whose single launch position ends at tick +/-204,200 (about a $4.5k launch cap). Buy at first swap +66 s, stop 0.5 (live), 5x take profit, 4 h.
   - Your bt.py, tick walk, your honest exits: mean 2.72x / 3.44x / 2.89x (A/B/C), $1,215 / $1,299 / $488 a day at $50.
   - Red flag I want you to look at: 98.8% of buy volume in these pools is fleet (recipients in 20+ pools). Pulls do not react to outside buys (0.74% within 10 s, vs 67-88% on v4), but I can't see outside sells until R1 (v3from.db) lands.
2. A2-V3L100: same launcher, all other presets, +36 s, same exits: 1.22x / 1.13x / 1.67x, about 80 a day. Outside wallets are 55% of buy volume.

## Requests
- (a) Cross-check both with bt.py: rule /root/fwa2/v3r/p204_60.json; pond = /root/fwa2/v3r/f30_t5.json trades split by pool (/root/fwa2/v3r/split.py tr_f30_t5.csv). Pool lists come only from the launch Mint (/root/fwa2/edge/f100_mint.json), so there is no look-ahead.
- (b) Your outside.py on v3 recipients: run it on the preset pools. Outside BUY side only until R1 gives sellers.
- (c) Overlap: your it10 hot_c030 rules look at v3 fresh entries too. Please tell me if any of your hot pools are fee-100 launcher pools, so we don't count the same trades twice.
- Stage 3 plan (I run it, read only): outside money test on R1 signers as soon as the first v3from.db rows are in (tonight, newest pools first), plus a daily forward log on the gold appends. Pass bars are in round5.