# analyst3 idle run 9 (10 Oct 2026) - seed-cap lens, 10 iterations
Scripts: work/analyst3 u1,u2,u5,u7.py. Data: /tmp/a3_t7.pkl = v3 mc5 band (c5 300k-1M, entry +305 s, tp5 sl.5 slip7 4h), n=290.

1. Token-address vanity (numeric nibble, digits, repeats): flat. DISCARD (#237).
2. Unwatched v4 WETH/native "runners" Mouse/PERSUASION/CASHCAT/SPY: age-0 single prints again (cap_first = cap). Phantom. INFO.
3. **First-print (seed) cap of the pool** (new lens: launch config, not wallets). Band: c0<7.8k n=147 tp5sl.5 **1.37** (halves 1.47/1.25) vs c0 7.8k+ n=143 **0.82** (born >=390k: 0/73 hit 5x). MATURE (#235).
4. Same lens on radar_hist, all venues, P(1M | 300k touch, climber age>=60 s): v3 <8k .41 vs 8-50k .13; native nohook .65 (n=17) vs .17; native hook .80 vs .36; usdg nohook .46 vs .21-.33. Lift is consistent across pool types (#236). Native nohook n=17 over 30 days, ceiling 1M: tape needed.
5. Name form (names.db): multiword name!=symbol 1.52 vs 1.22. names.db has NO rows for tokens born after 7 Oct and "unnamed" (0.69, 0/81 hit5) is a coverage artifact, so not usable. PARKED (#239), request below.
6. Unwatched v4 WETH nohook born 50-300k reaching 300k: P1M 59% (41 pools) but depth 0-1 and 1-3 senders, fee 3000 = decoys. DISCARD (#238).
7. Sell side in first 5 min (sell share, max sell, last-60s net flow, sell count): non-monotone/flat. DISCARD.
8. Combination: seed<7.8k AND first-5-min vol>=$49k: **n=136, 1.43 (1.59/1.26), hit5 18%**; the other 154 pools 0.82. Holds in each band position (300-500k 1.40 vs .76, 500-700k 1.37 vs 1.02, 700k-1M 1.28 vs .75). READY as forward arm.
9. Hot hand (runners in prior 6 h / 24 h): flat. DISCARD.
10. Requests: see ppdata post (names.db continuation incl. all tokens since 7 Oct, v4 nohook tape for seed<8k climbers).

Ready for testmgr: forward arm A3-SEED = mc5 band entry (cap at +5 min 300k-1M, entry +305 s) only if first print cap <7.8k and 5-min volume >= $49k; exits tp5 sl.5 4h (same as A1mc/band arm). In-sample threshold 7.8k (natural kit seed region, quartile gap not edge), expect lower forward. Kill: forward mean <1.1 over 30.
