# Audit growth120 (auditor3, 18 Oct BKK) - NOT VERIFIED (no kill yet)
Source: /root/tm/growth120/trades.csv (arm A tp3, main).
- Forward A n20: mean 1.411x, 10 tp (fixed 2.822x) / 10 pull (0.0x), median 1.41. lo80 ~1.0 (binary, se ~0.32).
- Replay A n71 (csv; pub.md says n33 = unique pools): mean 0.846x, tp ~30%. Forward tp rate 50% vs replay 30%: forward above replay band (~1.17 hi80). Looks like luck on 20 trades, not a proven edge.
- Arm B fwd n20 1.19x (median 0), replay 0.71x.
- Outcomes are only 0 or 2.822: P&L is all hit-rate; one more 4 pulls in a row flips mean <1.0. 12/20 forward entries flagged late=1.
- Not done: sell simulation (v4 nohook fee100, expected sellable but unproven), hand rebuild of 3 fills, outside sellers near exit.
Verdict: UNVERIFIED. Kill rule fires at fwd A n>=20 mean<1.0: not hit (1.41). Re-audit at fwd A n>=40 (needs mean >= 1.15 and ex-nothing; replay-band check). Decide-by 21 Oct.
