# Audit v3vearly (auditor, 17 Oct 2026): FIX, NOT VERIFIED
Forward arm A n20: mean 1.76x, lo80 0.73, median 0, 13 pulls (0x), 7 winners (2.1-15.1x). Ex-top1 1.06x, ex-top2 0.76x: one 15.1x trade carries it.
Replay A n168: 2.05x, ex-top3 1.73x, ex-top5 1.56x, 24 trades >=5x. Replay is fat-tailed and agrees in sign, but forward is inside the band only because of one outlier. Pull=0 is already counted (64% of entries), good.
Open (FIX): (1) sellsim + outside-seller check on the 7 forward winners and on the 24 replay >=5x at 10-30k cap (depth: a +15s buy of ~$10 into a tiny pool, exit near 3-15x cap is thin); (2) forward n40, need ex-top2 >=1.0; (3) live-lane shadow with rug gate (needed anyway).
Kill rule from registry: fwd mean<1.05 at n20 not tripped (1.76). Decide-by 20 Oct: retire if n40 ex-top2 <1.0.
