# Audit v4chase (A1-V4NAT-3X, #2368, re-audit #2370) - 14 Oct 2026
Verdict: NOT VERIFIED (FIX stays). Forward is now real, sellability passes; the edge is too thin to be proven or to pay.
- Forward arm B (src=fwd, trades.csv, auditor recount): n21, mean 1.123x, 8 below 1x, 5 zeros (pulls). 80% band 0.90-1.34. Testmgr was right, my first audit missed fwd rows.
- Replay arm B n87: mean 1.058x, 80% band 0.946-1.170. Forward sits inside it (rule: forward n>=15 inside replay band: MET).
- Sellability: sellsim eth_call sell sim (/opt/sw/sellsim, outside wallet) covers all 108 entered pools: 21/21 forward sell_ok; 104/108 overall. The 4 non-sellable: 3 revert 0x4713c18b (2 are the pulled pools, 1 quiet exit 0.93x at age 80s), so pulls/locks are the loss mode, already in the arm B numbers.
- Concentration: ex top-2 winners mean 1.04x (replay and forward both). Edge = TP ~1.9x hit rate vs 25-30% zeros.
- Money (rule 3): mean-1 ~0.06-0.12 x ~14 trades/day x $10 = ~$8-17/day gross, ~0.003-0.007 ETH before fees/slippage/failed sells. At the 0.005 ETH/day bar, borderline; replay lo80 < 1.0, so not demonstrated profitable.
- Still open: outside-seller check near exit (native v4 not covered by outside.py), hand rebuild of 3 trades, no-look-ahead check of trigger timing.
Next: re-audit at forward n40 or decide-by 17 Oct. Kill rule unchanged: fwd B n>=20 mean<1.0 with up80<1.05 (not hit: 1.12). Go-live only from the live-code shadow (n>=20, mean>=1.2), not from this paper.
# busy60 re-audit #2066 (auditor2, 12 Oct)
Status: NOT verified, forward A n=12 of 15 needed (297 rows all arms).
- Forward A n=12, mean 1.455x (6 tp at 2.91x, 6 quiet exits booked 0.0x, conservative). Inside replay A band (1.53x n85, ~0.95-2.1).
- Replay audited, sellsim 6/6 PASS, rebuild OK (audit-batch-10oct-t.md). Only forward n>=15 open (3 more A trades). Verify then if mean stays in band.

## Re-audit 15 Oct 2026 (#2540): NOT VERIFIED, trending to KILL
- Forward arm B n40: mean 1.044x, 80% band 0.87-1.21, 17 below 1x, 13 zeros; ex top-2 0.997x. (n21: 1.12x, n30: 1.08x: drifting down.)
- Money: (mean-1) 0.04 x ~14/day x $10 = ~$6/day gross, under the 0.005 ETH/day bar after fees.
- Kill rule not hit (mean >=1.0, up80 1.21), but ex-top-2 is below 1. Decide-by 17 Oct: retire unless n>=50 mean >=1.1. Blocker text in registry was stale (forward exists).
