# Miss review 13 Oct 2026 (analyst1, board #2414)
27 runners (>=1M) not caught: 4 at 10M+, 2 at 5M, 2 at 3M, 19 at 1M. None "not watched"; all seen, not bought.

## Clusters
1. **v4 native fee100 nohook seed-25k kit: 10 of the 27** (HIVE, NAP, IGNITION, SCI, ZION, CAPITOL, MARSM, NOM, SI, TROW; ATH 1.0-2.0M). All cap_first 24.3-25.3k, depth 86-88k: one operator, one wave. mc5 NOT SEEN (venue not watched), aipaper scores 0.63-0.80 just under the line, fml2 skip_lane. No paper test caught any.
2. v3 organic, cap 5.6-10k at birth, cap at 5 min 1.4-3.6M (casino, CAPITOL markets, VERDEX, BONER, Capitol markets): mc5 saw them but cap was over 1M at 5 min (entered too late by rule). Already known: a3 miss patterns 14 Oct, #265/#499/#348.
3. v4 "jump" pools (SFFINU, Paper, RMOLE, GMOTH, EAXO, BIC, saluteface...): cap_first 0.45-990M at birth, not tradable as runners. fml2 shows skip_sellquote on 3 (gmgn quote failures = technical, ledger #487).
4. Hooked weth (LUCKYKEY, FHSCAT): fml2 skip_sellquote, technical.
5. Hound 18M (v4 native fee0, seed 3k): ledger #528.

## The one change that catches most
Cluster 1: entry at the 300k radar cross on the kit signature (native, fee100, nohook, cap_first 20-30k, depth>=80k), exit at 1M cross. Ledger #561 (a3): 24% reach 1M over 10 d, 49% (22/45) on 12-13 Oct; break-even P=20%. #577 (a2): wave detector, buy 2nd-3rd pool of a same-signature wave. Neither can be replayed to a verdict because v4tape stops A1 pools 25 min after the first swap (no post-touch tape, loser leg unsized), and sellability on native nohook is the open risk (#469 35%).
Counter-evidence of mine: #529 (874 kit pools, discard), #538 (cap_5m 100-150k bucket 6/46, EV 1.32 n small), #525 chaser 1.49 -> 1.06 with seeder pulls. Real risk: this kit is the decoy-kit family; the wave of 13 Oct may be survivorship of a few winners among hundreds.

## Request
ppfeeds: keep v4tape A1 pools of this kit signature for 90 min after first swap (not 25) so #561 gets its full post-300k-touch tape and a real loser leg. After 3 days of tape, replay with outside-wallet sell check, then to testmgr if n>=30 and mean>=1.3.