# Miss review 2026-10-16 (analyst1)
25 runners (source: review/misses.csv). Caveat: 4 rows with ath_usd 18k..54B (0xe11af6, 0xcd091f, 0x9843cf, 0xebdeea) are mispriced/phantom (cap_first = ATH junk), not real runners.

| group | tokens | status | cause | would catch |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FOLIO serial launcher, v4:native organic pools (7 pools: 9M,3M,2M,1M,1M,1M +1) | 7 | NOT SEEN by mc5 (venue pool_uniswap_v4 not watched); aipaper scored 0.09-0.54 below line; aipaper5 never scored | feed gap + score line | a "same symbol relaunch" rule: after first FOLIO pool prints, enter later pools of same symbol/deployer at first cross |
| DOPE 24M v4:native organic | 1 | not seen by mc5; aipaper 0.25/0.49 | feed gap | v4:native feed (ledger #608 killed, #615 NK0 now paper) |
| kit:B v3 organic (8M,5M,4M,4M,3M,2M,1M) | 7 | mc5: cap over $1M at 5 min (too late) x2, buy_fail x1; others never seen by mc5/aipaper (cap_first 5k-10k = born small) | v3 small-born, never scored | kit:B v3 small-born entry at <=30k cap: radar already tags kit:B+organic |
| v4 hooked (BANKERS, 0x7c0495, 0x489889) 1M each | 3 | not seen / score low / cap over $1M at 5 min | only 1M tier | none, low value |
| v3 jump (0x27d8f9 7M) | 1 | cap $7.6M at 5 min: born >1M | uncatchable |

Technical failures: 1 (buy_fail on kit:B 0x0e9f5e 3M) - exec should check. Rate limits: none visible.
Paper tests that caught any: none (all aipaper rows MISSED or NOT SEEN).

## One change
Highest count: kit:B v3 organic small-born (7 runners, 1-8M, incl. 1 buy_fail) + FOLIO serial (7). Propose two ledger ideas:
1. KITB-ORG: v3 kit:B organic born cap<=30k, enter first cross; check 30-day replay for losers (kit:B organic rate of P1M).
2. SERIAL-SYM: same symbol relaunched by same deployer in v4:native within 24h after a prior pool reached >=1M -> enter new pool at first cross.
