A2-BREADTH90
v4 native fee100 nohook, >=2 distinct senders by +90s, buy +90s tp3/tp5 · paper, $10 a trade, since 16 Oct · idea #580 · updated 16 Oct 19:11 Bangkok, refreshes every minute.
Not verified yet: treat these numbers as unproven
Waiting for: forward n<20; outsider sell depth unproven; shared runner /root/tm/u100lab/lab.py (cron 10 min)
Still open:
- auditor 5-check
Paper run, no real money
Test Manager forward test on research-box. Kill rule: kill n>=20 mean<1.0 (replay 0.90 already below). Live only after 2 profitable days without bugs; only Ben switches.
Total P&L
-$97.11
Trades done
21
3 up, 18 down
Best trade
2.8x
Exit rule shown
A
tp3
Replay of past coins (not in the numbers above): 1130 trades, mean 0.89x, -$1269.96 at $10. Backtest, no forward evidence.
P&L over time (US dollars, Bangkok time)
Each step is a trade with exit rule A, numbered in time order.
Other exit rules on the same coins
| Rule | Trades | Mean | 2x+ | 10x+ | Losers | P&L at $10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A tp3 | 21 | 0.54x | 3 | 0 | 18 | -$97.11 |
| B tp5 | 21 | 0.51x | 2 | 0 | 19 | -$103.41 |
Every trade (exit rule A)
| # | Pool | Time | In | Why sold | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0x983bfdeb79e4246ecb78810865aa7ae2048be7d63d9da1412573c7cd03baa3b3 | 16 Oct 18:20 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 20 | 0x5614daa46775f30773278404585400eb09d161111421448b25c8cb7ac1048ca8 | 16 Oct 18:18 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 19 | 0x84006fa3436536168a0b35abd1b59b7cdc18b892bf8140dd7b030ca2c3bcb2d9 | 16 Oct 18:03 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 18 | 0x1d1912e6a2bc2f6632e17e4000360acbd4d65c102c6bbe3cb44d225663256644 | 16 Oct 17:00 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 17 | 0x5c8b4bf74a2eda4826c71bc1f0693535bee409f5060ca1c728f3e0e735123c4e | 16 Oct 15:44 | $10 | quiet | 0.94x (-5.9%) -$0.59 |
| 16 | 0x5d63f645879d3d1c0732f34ca2f72dd2e8a55c9b9020ad9fb5c5d7dfda5ca1cf | 16 Oct 15:44 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 15 | 0x4d5c67fe93a56b2e1e295eda5a89eadac3b4305f0c13d353bbd4c6f89f2fd8d5 | 16 Oct 15:42 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 14 | 0xd601edd3d5100bc84a6d5e8f6b24a2fffb89d4a2fc059b6734154de6286d8cce | 16 Oct 15:39 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 13 | 0x0f909eb62060d748153f4bb24ef8055bd9fe1ef5a5daba0790bc671fab9744fb | 16 Oct 15:36 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 12 | 0x09bc98d13443771f5be525725a1bb792eb0d3062dcf948030f924e519ead9573 | 16 Oct 15:32 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 11 | 0xc810d4ba761869983079c447348a9a846999591a6f7b35b652c3ff504cdb9991 | 16 Oct 15:28 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 10 | 0x588d8104fb30c3e1f13da7b4c2df6ba643f5fd3bd1fe58d4287254754188ff53 | 16 Oct 14:29 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 9 | 0xbba5bcb58381949a48e833c986d23e2e450786ef49a9b670af7382a96679d90c | 16 Oct 14:17 | $10 | tp | 2.82x (+182.2%) +$18.22 |
| 8 | 0x0541400d59a1a7ac9ab60f4891c32f05f042d6cd539e6eb378e91b765dff377a | 16 Oct 12:52 | $10 | quiet | 0.94x (-5.9%) -$0.59 |
| 7 | 0x54c88ebfd9e58f269bd9b94b81d5e9230d5a58486a5e6304fae46d9b5e320597 | 16 Oct 12:46 | $10 | quiet | 0.94x (-5.9%) -$0.59 |
| 6 | 0xbc4f7c464b0d4ed8497446d95a86872051926c061b3ade5fd2a8de15d9b84aa6 | 16 Oct 12:24 | $10 | tp | 2.82x (+182.2%) +$18.22 |
| 5 | 0xf60c18d243aab671c0864555848ae5fe90ac15f8d3334a9ad50457c483e863bc | 16 Oct 10:56 | $10 | tp | 2.82x (+182.2%) +$18.22 |
| 4 | 0x3bd5be3ef1b1b4df484a6eb0ea9119a7f3fbad5b9eba7c5b4d3cccb53ce84cbb | 16 Oct 10:47 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 3 | 0x571800cdcb8093f0ecff16b1daa551683431620af2884a50637796e400965fb3 | 16 Oct 10:35 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 2 | 0xcd25cc36a82448f77a8bca5f4d47ca6fd7fdf58eeb66b1079089e1ad3f1fa5d6 | 16 Oct 10:33 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 1 | 0x7379e821a4fec0bfcc7a89c83d61b069a42dc865babc362cdf3339bbd3416bcc | 16 Oct 10:29 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
Full Test Manager report
# breadth90 paper test (u100lab, testmgr3) - 16 Oct 12:11 UTC
See /root/tm/u100lab/lab.py docstring. Open legs 0; skips {'<2 senders at 90s': 26, 'not native': 84, 'waiting': 482, 'pulled before entry': 3}
- arm A (tp3) fwd: n 0, mean 0.00x, <1x 0, tp 0, pull 0, quiet 0
- arm A (tp3) replay (tape since 6 Oct): n 295, mean 0.90x, <1x 213, tp 80, pull 174, quiet 34
- arm B (tp5) fwd: n 0, mean 0.00x, <1x 0, tp 0, pull 0, quiet 0
- arm B (tp5) replay (tape since 6 Oct): n 295, mean 0.82x, <1x 255, tp 38, pull 187, quiet 61