fclv

v3 F-CLV-STAGE: age<=300s cap10-60k net buy>=1.5 ETH, entry/avg-buy cap 1.3-2, staged trail · paper, $10 a trade, since 17 Oct · idea #627 · updated 17 Oct 02:32 Bangkok, refreshes every minute.

Not verified yet: treat these numbers as unproven

Waiting for: fwd n20; replay pulls=0x 1.13x n614 (123 pulls) vs analyst 1.9x w/o rug model; killbot decides

Still open:

Paper run, no real money

Test Manager forward test on research-box. Kill rule: fwd mean<1.0 at n30. Live only after 2 profitable days without bugs; only Ben switches.

Total P&L
-$19.20
Trades done
31
13 up, 18 down
Best trade
3.2x
Exit rule shown
Q
stop 0.2x, trail 85% until 5x peak then 50%, 6h, pull=0x

Replay of past coins (not in the numbers above): 584 trades, mean 1.14x, +$810.65 at $10. Backtest, no forward evidence.

P&L over time (US dollars, Bangkok time)

Each step is a trade with exit rule Q, numbered in time order.

-$20$0$20trade 1 at 16 Oct 16:25 0.00x -$10.00trade 2 at 16 Oct 16:30 0.00x -$10.00trade 3 at 16 Oct 16:35 0.00x -$10.00trade 4 at 16 Oct 16:35 1.07x +$0.66trade 5 at 16 Oct 16:43 1.57x +$5.67trade 6 at 16 Oct 16:53 1.60x +$5.97trade 7 at 16 Oct 17:07 3.05x +$20.46trade 8 at 16 Oct 17:21 1.00x +$0.05trade 9 at 16 Oct 18:13 1.28x +$2.81trade 10 at 16 Oct 18:55 0.70x -$3.03trade 11 at 16 Oct 19:04 0.68x -$3.22trade 12 at 16 Oct 19:39 0.00x -$10.00trade 13 at 16 Oct 19:41 1.85x +$8.48trade 14 at 16 Oct 19:47 2.03x +$10.33trade 15 at 16 Oct 20:18 0.92x -$0.80trade 16 at 16 Oct 20:53 0.93x -$0.68trade 17 at 16 Oct 20:54 0.00x -$10.00trade 18 at 16 Oct 20:59 2.75x +$17.52trade 19 at 16 Oct 21:49 3.16x +$21.61trade 20 at 16 Oct 23:22 0.00x -$10.00trade 21 at 16 Oct 23:25 0.96x -$0.43trade 22 at 16 Oct 23:44 0.00x -$10.00trade 23 at 17 Oct 01:18 1.16x +$1.63trade 24 at 17 Oct 01:35 0.81x -$1.87trade 25 at 17 Oct 02:04 1.03x +$0.31trade 26 at 17 Oct 02:04 0.71x -$2.87trade 27 at 17 Oct 02:10 0.00x -$10.00trade 28 at 17 Oct 02:17 0.00x -$10.00trade 29 at 17 Oct 02:18 0.00x -$10.00trade 30 at 17 Oct 02:20 1.82x +$8.20trade 31 at 17 Oct 02:28 0.00x -$10.0016:1518:5221:2900:0602:44
Every trade (exit rule Q)
#PoolTimeInWhy soldResult
310x4c58b397c423ecd4b1670bb6e2176ea976fd905d17 Oct 02:28$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
300x6f059b6c9e0c5e365a76752f1d6f70270dddcc6e17 Oct 02:20$10trail1.82x (+82.0%)
+$8.20
290x76ba92473ecb61258645ee5d337e8b57f96143e117 Oct 02:18$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
280x87fd95d0256613dc7143a2079048cb72c2f73eb817 Oct 02:17$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
270xfa0c1f331861c41b63effcda14d6aeabf173497d17 Oct 02:10$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
260x9ed21bd7ce9e433e21754234248c6b3bce0d4dfa17 Oct 02:04$10trail0.71x (-28.7%)
-$2.87
250x566ecd3a2ce18e92af34bd5c905a05b5ae65f4a417 Oct 02:04$10trail1.03x (+3.1%)
+$0.31
240x116b18cabde1fc2f91c268422c12ed33aa2d4eac17 Oct 01:35$10trail0.81x (-18.7%)
-$1.87
230xbbe61fef00a718be4e03a5925b74d2fccf1398a517 Oct 01:18$10trail1.16x (+16.3%)
+$1.63
220x030f3ac8ba767d36a37fb15439f971edff4c050816 Oct 23:44$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
210x9fbc0771ebbd2c9a1567225eb740b0714d8df25316 Oct 23:25$10trail0.96x (-4.3%)
-$0.43
200x2960b0588f2a7d0540afb82fa305d59fd01bb35a16 Oct 23:22$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
190xe1f9ad13b2ed17097396cb09bd73f8a6d6a2b8b716 Oct 21:49$10trail3.16x (+216.1%)
+$21.61
180xe6a5b1775bca3fc7479e935c104a7791d488477216 Oct 20:59$10trail2.75x (+175.2%)
+$17.52
170x6b6597e333f16d904f1259d26d978e283759cb2316 Oct 20:54$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
160xf1f51aaa4a2d6d246e7e10ccac074e9d8866420316 Oct 20:53$10trail0.93x (-6.8%)
-$0.68
150x563c5ea4c478c01ca5d8cb08a1eccaff117e49f716 Oct 20:18$10trail0.92x (-8.0%)
-$0.80
140xa3bce21832ef3fec74436a2b3470cffd78d58f0416 Oct 19:47$10trail2.03x (+103.3%)
+$10.33
130x1a1dd2805b3f02f89215fb20fcb43ae59c331ba916 Oct 19:41$10trail1.85x (+84.8%)
+$8.48
120x0ef95c9d943ebc9bbc4e885477b5f7b382bd1eee16 Oct 19:39$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
110x4a5d0a0e5218a0bfe5a7fd76b1ccfdb86c64871f16 Oct 19:04$10trail0.68x (-32.2%)
-$3.22
100x736c81d71c7919b5f62d0b657a292df00ef6387816 Oct 18:55$10trail0.70x (-30.3%)
-$3.03
90x459e58750b228211ff6c444a4048df1154c8488e16 Oct 18:13$10trail1.28x (+28.1%)
+$2.81
80x71ec038a23fe90fc71f8737db82e37c7af962c2c16 Oct 17:21$10trail1.00x (+0.5%)
+$0.05
70xc8d380fc86185888714cb950515ed36ed990dd6616 Oct 17:07$10trail3.05x (+204.6%)
+$20.46
60x882916ff932b55b16c119d2a828163752bda095716 Oct 16:53$10trail1.60x (+59.7%)
+$5.97
50x78040fe9c70031d3437eca4bfc76d2ae938fbaef16 Oct 16:43$10trail1.57x (+56.7%)
+$5.67
40x74dad191bfef53236f8301eadac464f49ea8c1db16 Oct 16:35$10trail1.07x (+6.6%)
+$0.66
30x68d5f0344b70c7e021a27a760c350297e748f0f916 Oct 16:35$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
20x4e40ff552bc9af51d093d6415d9e5c4818f8575316 Oct 16:30$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
10x51136733813f9a13777df996d2892fa962e9284a16 Oct 16:25$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
Full Test Manager report
# fclv paper (testmgr2) 16 Oct 19:32 UTC
rule in script header. Open legs 0.
- Q: n 615, mean 1.13x, median 0.94x, win 275, pull 124, time 0