fstage
v3 F base (no CLV gate), staged trail · paper, $10 a trade, since 17 Oct · idea #628 · updated 17 Oct 07:05 Bangkok, refreshes every minute.
Not verified yet: treat these numbers as unproven
Waiting for: fwd n20; G arm coverage needs births.db refresh (ppdata); killbot decides
Still open:
- auditor 5-check
Paper run, no real money
Test Manager forward test on research-box. Kill rule: fwd mean<1.0 at n30. Live only after 2 profitable days without bugs; only Ben switches.
Total P&L
+$21.98
Trades done
60
26 up, 34 down
Best trade
3.4x
Exit rule shown
Q
stop 0.2x, trail 85% until 5x peak then 50%, 6h, pull=0x
Replay of past coins (not in the numbers above): 1300 trades, mean 1.12x, +$1577.21 at $10. Backtest, no forward evidence.
P&L over time (US dollars, Bangkok time)
Each step is a trade with exit rule Q, numbered in time order.
Other exit rules on the same coins
| Rule | Trades | Mean | 2x+ | 10x+ | Losers | P&L at $10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q stop 0.2x, trail 85% until 5x peak then 50%, 6h, pull=0x | 60 | 1.04x | 6 | 0 | 34 | +$21.98 |
| G Q minus creator with >=2 prior pulled pools (births.db, stale after 10 Oct: unknown creator kept) | 60 | 1.04x | 6 | 0 | 34 | +$21.98 |
Every trade (exit rule Q)
| # | Pool | Time | In | Why sold | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0xda7d8b8717a1c1dd1b58fa3012b4aa43dcb0c073 | 17 Oct 06:53 | $10 | trail | 1.30x (+29.9%) +$2.99 |
| 59 | 0xaba6be9d2657d1d81191f5a2798cb20bee82f6fe | 17 Oct 06:53 | $10 | trail | 0.91x (-8.7%) -$0.87 |
| 58 | 0xa43f16017ec888a3a5d3ca38060afe46b5ab22e6 | 17 Oct 06:50 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 57 | 0x1f6d83106fffaa2ac0061b667252faed7b2a944a | 17 Oct 06:45 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 56 | 0x19aec8e122b0b5c5256eb0a4436464e5062e62f2 | 17 Oct 06:25 | $10 | trail | 3.29x (+229.4%) +$22.94 |
| 55 | 0x40d50005b689665cddb80984d9a8155672eb3c7b | 17 Oct 06:23 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 54 | 0x31eb8036b9e50b44796d41c97ab5775833b82939 | 17 Oct 06:21 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 53 | 0xc1534205a6b6d8c8557fd4d59e3b3bed791ba7d9 | 17 Oct 06:07 | $10 | trail | 0.74x (-26.0%) -$2.60 |
| 52 | 0x07838fb56c5ecbdcba3ad60d4a51954476860d3a | 17 Oct 05:38 | $10 | trail | 0.93x (-7.5%) -$0.75 |
| 51 | 0x75ec649693f15daa2830d7a55a9275b58b209fc5 | 17 Oct 05:33 | $10 | trail | 1.77x (+77.1%) +$7.71 |
| 50 | 0x8eb59f8ec0119498461d123ff48b2d7051f7f192 | 17 Oct 05:11 | $10 | trail | 0.89x (-11.1%) -$1.11 |
| 49 | 0x5394583bc2ce97d5f515ff5729caff756df2e3d1 | 17 Oct 05:03 | $10 | trail | 0.89x (-11.2%) -$1.12 |
| 48 | 0xb766f13aac99589cd705f879603fa6082be2d520 | 17 Oct 03:55 | $10 | trail | 0.96x (-3.6%) -$0.36 |
| 47 | 0x9664048ab6edfb0d3b1e8bbcce1338d06e4c562b | 17 Oct 03:22 | $10 | trail | 1.03x (+3.0%) +$0.30 |
| 46 | 0x58d9ab51de8242f331699b54f6c6f5992b73f55f | 17 Oct 02:51 | $10 | trail | 2.00x (+99.7%) +$9.97 |
| 45 | 0x5a2666c93b2203807f6874595ff5ee06881c2b94 | 17 Oct 02:36 | $10 | trail | 3.38x (+238.2%) +$23.82 |
| 44 | 0x71423da3f5038ca8b81e7609546306964ef8bb84 | 17 Oct 02:33 | $10 | trail | 0.91x (-8.7%) -$0.87 |
| 43 | 0x4c58b397c423ecd4b1670bb6e2176ea976fd905d | 17 Oct 02:28 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 42 | 0x55b910a11b2f31f1d10c08db852394f9f40bcacf | 17 Oct 02:21 | $10 | trail | 0.99x (-1.4%) -$0.14 |
| 41 | 0x6f059b6c9e0c5e365a76752f1d6f70270dddcc6e | 17 Oct 02:20 | $10 | trail | 1.82x (+82.0%) +$8.20 |
| 40 | 0x76ba92473ecb61258645ee5d337e8b57f96143e1 | 17 Oct 02:18 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 39 | 0x87fd95d0256613dc7143a2079048cb72c2f73eb8 | 17 Oct 02:17 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 38 | 0xfa0c1f331861c41b63effcda14d6aeabf173497d | 17 Oct 02:10 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 37 | 0xe060b4a2d0155bbdd8a1ccdc226dda1cf0980b8d | 17 Oct 02:05 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 36 | 0x9ed21bd7ce9e433e21754234248c6b3bce0d4dfa | 17 Oct 02:04 | $10 | trail | 0.71x (-28.7%) -$2.87 |
| 35 | 0x566ecd3a2ce18e92af34bd5c905a05b5ae65f4a4 | 17 Oct 02:04 | $10 | trail | 1.03x (+3.1%) +$0.31 |
| 34 | 0x2bbaf8ead581a7cc51d0f32610c32287e1fbed3c | 17 Oct 01:50 | $10 | trail | 1.78x (+77.6%) +$7.76 |
| 33 | 0x116b18cabde1fc2f91c268422c12ed33aa2d4eac | 17 Oct 01:35 | $10 | trail | 0.81x (-18.7%) -$1.87 |
| 32 | 0xe6d75b1490f1d92ade8c5bbc698ce7bd6c4c2fa1 | 17 Oct 01:28 | $10 | trail | 1.41x (+40.8%) +$4.08 |
| 31 | 0xbbe61fef00a718be4e03a5925b74d2fccf1398a5 | 17 Oct 01:15 | $10 | trail | 1.66x (+66.2%) +$6.62 |
| 30 | 0x01df739cbab6ca301e7c16388b881f1d1dd0a28d | 17 Oct 00:20 | $10 | trail | 1.04x (+3.9%) +$0.39 |
| 29 | 0x030f3ac8ba767d36a37fb15439f971edff4c0508 | 16 Oct 23:42 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 28 | 0x9fbc0771ebbd2c9a1567225eb740b0714d8df253 | 16 Oct 23:23 | $10 | trail | 1.32x (+32.5%) +$3.25 |
| 27 | 0x2960b0588f2a7d0540afb82fa305d59fd01bb35a | 16 Oct 23:20 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 26 | 0xd62e63398d8dfdfbcdfcb2bc4589ab6d5543f475 | 16 Oct 22:41 | $10 | trail | 0.86x (-14.2%) -$1.42 |
| 25 | 0xf7514e89f722067dedb81687daecb4335f4de8d2 | 16 Oct 22:19 | $10 | trail | 1.60x (+60.3%) +$6.03 |
| 24 | 0xe1f9ad13b2ed17097396cb09bd73f8a6d6a2b8b7 | 16 Oct 21:49 | $10 | trail | 3.16x (+216.1%) +$21.61 |
| 23 | 0xe6a5b1775bca3fc7479e935c104a7791d4884772 | 16 Oct 20:59 | $10 | trail | 2.75x (+175.2%) +$17.52 |
| 22 | 0x6b6597e333f16d904f1259d26d978e283759cb23 | 16 Oct 20:54 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 21 | 0xf1f51aaa4a2d6d246e7e10ccac074e9d88664203 | 16 Oct 20:53 | $10 | trail | 0.93x (-6.8%) -$0.68 |
| 20 | 0x4a8d33b219741a756c2ce188bb08f256ea07a0fa | 16 Oct 20:40 | $10 | trail | 0.80x (-20.1%) -$2.01 |
| 19 | 0x563c5ea4c478c01ca5d8cb08a1eccaff117e49f7 | 16 Oct 20:18 | $10 | trail | 0.92x (-8.0%) -$0.80 |
| 18 | 0xa3bce21832ef3fec74436a2b3470cffd78d58f04 | 16 Oct 19:47 | $10 | trail | 2.03x (+103.3%) +$10.33 |
| 17 | 0x1a1dd2805b3f02f89215fb20fcb43ae59c331ba9 | 16 Oct 19:41 | $10 | trail | 1.85x (+84.8%) +$8.48 |
| 16 | 0x0ef95c9d943ebc9bbc4e885477b5f7b382bd1eee | 16 Oct 19:39 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 15 | 0x798a09140624d8fbe6825135c17aa9c9a635796e | 16 Oct 19:32 | $10 | trail | 0.72x (-27.5%) -$2.75 |
| 14 | 0x4e0451c1f23603318b48f2ab00f34e4dead31caa | 16 Oct 19:05 | $10 | trail | 0.87x (-12.8%) -$1.28 |
| 13 | 0x4a5d0a0e5218a0bfe5a7fd76b1ccfdb86c64871f | 16 Oct 19:04 | $10 | trail | 0.68x (-32.2%) -$3.22 |
| 12 | 0x736c81d71c7919b5f62d0b657a292df00ef63878 | 16 Oct 18:55 | $10 | trail | 0.70x (-30.3%) -$3.03 |
| 11 | 0x3f5f18274833bd7c8de46d1500d1f70593fd0cd9 | 16 Oct 18:42 | $10 | trail | 1.09x (+9.3%) +$0.93 |
| 10 | 0x459e58750b228211ff6c444a4048df1154c8488e | 16 Oct 18:12 | $10 | trail | 1.73x (+73.3%) +$7.33 |
| 9 | 0xa5cff12c7a60643fb32251bc1589a526d724ea46 | 16 Oct 17:32 | $10 | trail | 1.25x (+24.5%) +$2.45 |
| 8 | 0x71ec038a23fe90fc71f8737db82e37c7af962c2c | 16 Oct 17:20 | $10 | trail | 1.26x (+26.4%) +$2.64 |
| 7 | 0xc8d380fc86185888714cb950515ed36ed990dd66 | 16 Oct 17:07 | $10 | trail | 3.05x (+204.6%) +$20.46 |
| 6 | 0x882916ff932b55b16c119d2a828163752bda0957 | 16 Oct 16:53 | $10 | trail | 1.60x (+59.7%) +$5.97 |
| 5 | 0x78040fe9c70031d3437eca4bfc76d2ae938fbaef | 16 Oct 16:43 | $10 | trail | 1.70x (+69.8%) +$6.98 |
| 4 | 0x74dad191bfef53236f8301eadac464f49ea8c1db | 16 Oct 16:35 | $10 | trail | 1.07x (+6.6%) +$0.66 |
| 3 | 0x68d5f0344b70c7e021a27a760c350297e748f0f9 | 16 Oct 16:35 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 2 | 0x4e40ff552bc9af51d093d6415d9e5c4818f85753 | 16 Oct 16:30 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 1 | 0x51136733813f9a13777df996d2892fa962e9284a | 16 Oct 16:25 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
Full Test Manager report
# fstage paper (testmgr2) 17 Oct 00:05 UTC rule in script header. Open legs 0. - Q: n 717, mean 1.11x, median 0.93x, win 315, pull 147, time 0 - G: n 703, mean 1.12x, median 0.94x, win 310, pull 147, time 0