GROWTH120 buyer growth +120s
v4 fee100 nohook, new buyers in 60-120s >=4 and >=1.5x first 60s, buy +120s tp3/tp5 sl.5 · paper, $10 a trade, since 17 Oct · idea #592 · updated 21 Oct 00:22 Bangkok, refreshes every minute.
Not verified yet: treat these numbers as unproven
Waiting for: auditor3 20 Oct: NOT VERIFIED, fwd A n60 1.42x but outside sellers 4/29 (13% vs 60%), replay 0.85x. No sell proof available -> RETIRE 21 Oct (decide-by). owner testmgr3
Still open:
- auditor3 20 Oct: fwd A n60 1.42x ex3 1.35 last20 1.30, replay 0.85; rebuild 29/29 exact; outside sellers 4/29 (need 60%); sell sim ok. Not verified; needs live-lane sell proof; decide-by 21 Oct. http://159.223.88.168/hx-c9ois/fw/audit-growth120-20oct-c.md
Paper run, no real money
Test Manager forward test on research-box. Kill rule: fwd arm A n>=20 mean<1.0 -> kill; decide-by 21 Oct. Live only after 2 profitable days without bugs; only Ben switches.
Total P&L
+$323.72
Trades done
69
36 up, 33 down
Best trade
2.8x
Exit rule shown
A
tp3
Replay of past coins (not in the numbers above): 142 trades, mean 0.78x, -$312.16 at $10. Backtest, no forward evidence.
P&L over time (US dollars, Bangkok time)
Each step is a trade with exit rule A, numbered in time order.
Other exit rules on the same coins
| Rule | Trades | Mean | 2x+ | 10x+ | Losers | P&L at $10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B tp5 | 68 | 1.62x | 23 | 0 | 44 | +$424.33 |
| A tp3 | 69 | 1.47x | 35 | 0 | 33 | +$323.72 |
Every trade (exit rule A)
| # | Pool | Time | In | Why sold | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0x843379cbacdfca15fad9a4fb2d2f269df0ee32e26d0351516b0f156fa6069046 | 21 Oct 00:07 | $10 | tp | 2.82x (+182.2%) +$18.22 |
| 68 | 0x261d6e730c3ffda54fcd0bc43e21b65d30fe9ead38918a027c5f5694b8361a4d | 20 Oct 23:39 | $10 | time | 1.84x (+83.7%) +$8.37 |
| 67 | 0x2833187af60775a392d4ce69ce068699771cd4c4d609ec5fcd548b895a2d764d | 20 Oct 23:17 | $10 | tp | 2.82x (+182.2%) +$18.22 |
| 66 | 0xaccb152267d9b4545a799196258d571e9846f043c47c10452227a3a4134d2d8f | 20 Oct 23:00 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 65 | 0xe237ad94cf785213aa50123d390a590c671d4ee09f62f496b0d151ee38df656e | 20 Oct 22:54 | $10 | tp | 2.82x (+182.2%) +$18.22 |
| 64 | 0x6b5c945978dfbdad7ec35b4b668de96089b5b1c1d9f2e20517c21605ecd09f5c | 20 Oct 19:29 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 63 | 0xa00277abebfee2e574022152f60b5e2aa46f8c76560641b2410c7ea4adbb9c3f | 20 Oct 16:09 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 62 | 0xee42f2f00b7c94f094204f46d8ee5e93dc4ad8375708b6f65639bff5e99808a3 | 20 Oct 15:58 | $10 | tp | 2.82x (+182.2%) +$18.22 |
| 61 | 0xc57fd2e25aa0522bca97df7e22a8bbdb1fe549a75d7cd991fb312692519a0bb0 | 20 Oct 14:57 | $10 | tp | 2.82x (+182.2%) +$18.22 |
| 60 | 0x8e30a81bee93cc46b242f18bcd62e56bbec1b7175ddff73aee5812e918afa743 | 20 Oct 14:14 | $10 | stop | 0.10x (-89.8%) -$8.98 |
| 59 | 0x9f0c19c463711f9d4f3cdd45f57d056f7d4c908912b3af660843b5f54d0c90c5 | 20 Oct 09:19 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 58 | 0x3dda76fbcc6f4c59287306e63735ad4e66d45f608b1268d690a6dd502b9041af | 20 Oct 07:07 | $10 | tp | 2.82x (+182.2%) +$18.22 |
| 57 | 0xf51348ca2aab9995eab5de7aa12e01ee780160a6a02046223dd739b4922caee3 | 20 Oct 06:28 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 56 | 0x1f3cb5ed9e81a5a61a80b2f3691f6c45b0d8899b4200329319d0ada3564f136b | 20 Oct 04:51 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 55 | 0x8dda027965f30643e4e4133f7023c6131757456d4ffd313199bfac269aadb3c3 | 20 Oct 02:30 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 54 | 0x06502e30626af49ad4537b42bf8a4dd83ea4952b7ea381470f9ee85cf98595a3 | 20 Oct 01:55 | $10 | tp | 2.82x (+182.2%) +$18.22 |
| 53 | 0x9e3c2afb147b0966be9a76340b1ff6e1c006f0928fa054c57aa257e0ad2a562a | 20 Oct 01:08 | $10 | tp | 2.82x (+182.2%) +$18.22 |
| 52 | 0xff65877c8f45c8ea7d78dac2b8da15c53042d6d5ad4ef12186f88c516b302342 | 20 Oct 00:17 | $10 | stop | 0.46x (-54.1%) -$5.41 |
| 51 | 0xf4b55dcbd5660f8044d3951d86ba68176adb22dab4e8691c42ebf45acdc95409 | 19 Oct 21:02 | $10 | tp | 2.82x (+182.2%) +$18.22 |
| 50 | 0xc708a9ed506bad6be8dadf15122f91b9a2f67cac07ebc62d92d93a93dc79cf49 | 19 Oct 20:39 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 49 | 0xf71376a7e1e1e2d0659bc8819020ca6accae471e2422e2116d7b81dfdb982c3b | 19 Oct 20:33 | $10 | tp | 2.82x (+182.2%) +$18.22 |
| 48 | 0x37b24fc84dc2337218e484b7ed7f98338c53053da4ac35cbcd6d977f069085a7 | 19 Oct 20:23 | $10 | tp | 2.82x (+182.2%) +$18.22 |
| 47 | 0x9b6695fe1c41ca2af9ec29473531d7f13b97e6b497d207c0c58708d29422a05b | 19 Oct 20:22 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 46 | 0x0c5d8c33252cd9d5c378075b63eff862f046a338ac072f8d4e08b0732e47c65b | 19 Oct 18:57 | $10 | tp | 2.82x (+182.2%) +$18.22 |
| 45 | 0xcdd6ea29983336195aae47d62349a46d99c769b20be71f8a725cd733327d5771 | 19 Oct 18:39 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 44 | 0xdfd79bc05a476126e5948d08dcda011778e9ec1eae0d61af11347d02851220dd | 19 Oct 17:27 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 43 | 0x74b7a10b502562a4bdb5908e60a82a3c8da367d97df32b17056c302b8bbbb048 | 19 Oct 16:24 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 42 | 0x18d074d3de3a6f510a79b3e6a6fa9e6218cad960180cafa44abdbd95da71ef46 | 19 Oct 16:18 | $10 | time | 2.08x (+108.5%) +$10.85 |
| 41 | 0x5c7f673cfbf0e2b123d775486684c7a0d772ef28dc5dbcb552179e864a8411b9 | 19 Oct 16:11 | $10 | tp | 2.82x (+182.2%) +$18.22 |
| 40 | 0x8ab5d683e8ad9a7538a1a3bd44ae4896ee93922656db21914594533c1aa52e42 | 19 Oct 16:03 | $10 | tp | 2.82x (+182.2%) +$18.22 |
| 39 | 0xcd5019694f541b5d2f5dfa5869f288fcf50d12d25d212d9107d1e4e0c11b4e9d | 19 Oct 15:01 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 38 | 0x5b71e9e276e1ddef5d39818ff577bc20282db39fec07663d2b41e824fafe51b9 | 19 Oct 09:27 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 37 | 0x370b93c16d6bff97d3baa2f9a4c9d1df9b3558c2ec03d75b42bef1af7a384d8d | 19 Oct 09:18 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 36 | 0xaf82d0d41f26c27b80bf9e2d98682b4788aa3e2b50acbdfebff8dc7d884a2797 | 19 Oct 04:52 | $10 | tp | 2.82x (+182.2%) +$18.22 |
| 35 | 0x4f954f6d17bde5591037c773ccd0c4a5f7c19807e163d424523eace577cc4cb0 | 19 Oct 02:43 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 34 | 0x91c5b1b3c5bf831ef2307e38f3a49489c2434aded5b36c8c3bdce5a0e3aed446 | 19 Oct 01:33 | $10 | tp | 2.82x (+182.2%) +$18.22 |
| 33 | 0x272db14f3a75a433a39bbf476ec9562db00da99ed72f9e8baf75eaacace4cfd1 | 19 Oct 00:50 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 32 | 0x0e825c0ae39b95870f5032f019bc8c983ff44f4df6fa1ff4638975abcb8b9847 | 18 Oct 21:43 | $10 | tp | 2.82x (+182.2%) +$18.22 |
| 31 | 0x2f7d902ee96862408671dd5ea44a2d5558ab35e9261bc538317bf3e7bd7f0801 | 18 Oct 21:29 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 30 | 0xe9ef7151b07d7f24fe8ed9ff89fdd1bec61c41eccf25cf9bece55061b0eceef4 | 18 Oct 21:23 | $10 | tp | 2.82x (+182.2%) +$18.22 |
| 29 | 0x3e7f94dd17bd72ba8fa034be0f866a70a91f41d00d91f5a3263c0d150fca3bbc | 18 Oct 20:32 | $10 | quiet | 0.94x (-5.9%) -$0.59 |
| 28 | 0xdfea3f6d008ae897bc3cd524743e6604eb427778764b2c21b12294ecf6fa43cf | 18 Oct 19:15 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 27 | 0xf5b4e87b85eea8a7fe62a5074f352467c191986c35a4d1e72fe9d4529c6cb64a | 18 Oct 19:10 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 26 | 0x233eac8ffa6fdc21867be803c16de339be7c2c819795f4d1f5b3797fd1544cd8 | 18 Oct 15:14 | $10 | tp | 2.82x (+182.2%) +$18.22 |
| 25 | 0x0f744dbd77fcd7f2d6450b3d7f6e444b5babf7155ccfd931d1793a00ce18d120 | 18 Oct 04:59 | $10 | tp | 2.82x (+182.2%) +$18.22 |
| 24 | 0x1699d4950a7b842be9c1a8205b027543297c10aa6556bfa89b5e13083e26af83 | 18 Oct 01:38 | $10 | tp | 2.82x (+182.2%) +$18.22 |
| 23 | 0x959d10153b88029b85fe85975a50dd286272877bc8ee0c58ea5049764806ebe8 | 18 Oct 01:25 | $10 | tp | 2.82x (+182.2%) +$18.22 |
| 22 | 0x0d82cc255bca2a3d694586fbe1c407a51a652816c2e97054551632d9f960ea40 | 18 Oct 01:25 | $10 | tp | 2.82x (+182.2%) +$18.22 |
| 21 | 0x865f8ee562da02d880393910a1e71fbac8f2f79d8f671ae326e3d9e7b7ce1738 | 18 Oct 00:44 | $10 | tp | 2.82x (+182.2%) +$18.22 |
| 20 | 0xee416b76a145f71ee09271aea5d2ed6c3a9d1b328d5cc44937f8846b07e23b16 | 18 Oct 00:17 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 19 | 0x24333c6371e510ffb4f4eeca79168039fba9ee3d547faa4b1c5e496639279f8e | 17 Oct 23:20 | $10 | tp | 2.82x (+182.2%) +$18.22 |
| 18 | 0x3953623e2143aa63aa9aa6fb70af6c9bfdd84a21bc28fa3e5261e256dd819ae9 | 17 Oct 20:46 | $10 | tp | 2.82x (+182.2%) +$18.22 |
| 17 | 0x932590e2a5cc4b8d5df670b027ec1173e414e5c30d817ea65674d0919c8a5088 | 17 Oct 20:08 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 16 | 0x1599aba37f3aed99b7557a1d52aa2722a2ba5658d84b7ae9692fc83571df153c | 17 Oct 10:15 | $10 | tp | 2.82x (+182.2%) +$18.22 |
| 15 | 0x21b2b0723bbcbd9d931be4360691b19641ad5d081d3db01116a00dc1f4e28858 | 17 Oct 07:25 | $10 | tp | 2.82x (+182.2%) +$18.22 |
| 14 | 0x5db80c1ba3d99e3c0f4483a7d1c4169ffb41d22adb3f80c033afedfecdfab2c3 | 17 Oct 05:48 | $10 | tp | 2.82x (+182.2%) +$18.22 |
| 13 | 0xfd0c786fc379dcec1fbfc9d115e08bd1a9dc34b6ce74fc311d5925eb031771e2 | 17 Oct 03:58 | $10 | tp | 2.82x (+182.2%) +$18.22 |
| 12 | 0x29959b8e875ed3fc69b49de0bc290f10b2164c9269164947e2b9aed978601f56 | 17 Oct 03:45 | $10 | tp | 2.82x (+182.2%) +$18.22 |
| 11 | 0x88344ad9da7f4a5942db15e1661b609789e3e7ea74442a54df03073e88b4ecd7 | 17 Oct 03:26 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 10 | 0xab09a756165c78b7a8f7bca5a716f1bfa6673071664707938a7cb7547338f68b | 17 Oct 02:40 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 9 | 0x636504139b7390dc5260a74957bdf8a8c08a272350225b3c9a23663a88eadf66 | 17 Oct 00:32 | $10 | tp | 2.82x (+182.2%) +$18.22 |
| 8 | 0x1ac84ec7607ac5e327ef91ec636d1e4911e313f27ce711348a7a2036b02541ef | 16 Oct 23:44 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 7 | 0x626a9cbd9007400cad88fc5df9e7b5a166f523a468ec27b18a767bb954dfc4d9 | 16 Oct 23:32 | $10 | tp | 2.82x (+182.2%) +$18.22 |
| 6 | 0xd48856b9518f3d82f551037b2fd04c35dec240face44a2d97da35d7dd0bcc7fc | 16 Oct 23:12 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 5 | 0xd601edd3d5100bc84a6d5e8f6b24a2fffb89d4a2fc059b6734154de6286d8cce | 16 Oct 15:39 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 4 | 0x09bc98d13443771f5be525725a1bb792eb0d3062dcf948030f924e519ead9573 | 16 Oct 15:32 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 3 | 0x588d8104fb30c3e1f13da7b4c2df6ba643f5fd3bd1fe58d4287254754188ff53 | 16 Oct 14:29 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 2 | 0xbc4f7c464b0d4ed8497446d95a86872051926c061b3ade5fd2a8de15d9b84aa6 | 16 Oct 12:24 | $10 | tp | 2.82x (+182.2%) +$18.22 |
| 1 | 0x571800cdcb8093f0ecff16b1daa551683431620af2884a50637796e400965fb3 | 16 Oct 10:35 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
Full Test Manager report
# growth120 paper test (u100lab, testmgr3) - 20 Oct 17:22 UTC
See /root/tm/u100lab/lab.py docstring. Open legs 1; skips {'buyer growth<1.5x or <4 new': 1722, 'waiting': 6}
- arm A (tp3) fwd: n 25, mean 1.36x, <1x 13, tp 12, pull 12, quiet 0
- arm A (tp3) replay (tape since 6 Oct): n 33, mean 0.71x, <1x 27, tp 6, pull 20, quiet 7
- arm B (tp5) fwd: n 24, mean 1.58x, <1x 16, tp 8, pull 14, quiet 0
- arm B (tp5) replay (tape since 6 Oct): n 33, mean 0.80x, <1x 29, tp 4, pull 21, quiet 8