H100-S slot1 gate

A1 #342 · hooked WETH fee-100, hook slot1 at creation in {1e12,1e13} · 3 arms + control · paper, $10 a trade, since 10 Oct · idea #342 fw/a1-iter21.md · updated 11 Oct 15:00 Bangkok, refreshes every minute.

Not verified yet: treat these numbers as unproven

Waiting for: registry gate real (owner-only list, 700-addr batches, our wallets unlisted; dataeng #851). Skim-vs-revert for unlisted unproven: needs Ben $5 buy+sell on an h100 pool; until then NOT sellable-proven | Ben/auditor | open

Still open:

Paper run, no real money

Test Manager forward test on research-box. Kill rule: arm A mean < 1.5x after 40 trades or pulled share > 25%; size <= 0.1 ETH. Live only after 2 profitable days without bugs; only Ben switches.

Total P&L
+$80.27
Trades done
4
4 up, 0 down
Best trade
4.8x
Exit rule shown
A
S group tp5, 20 min, no stop
P&L over time (US dollars, Bangkok time)

Each step is a trade with exit rule A, numbered in time order.

$0$25$50$75trade 1 at 09 Oct 22:54 4.85x +$38.50#1trade 2 at 10 Oct 12:32 2.27x +$12.67#2trade 3 at 11 Oct 08:06 2.33x +$13.30#3trade 4 at 11 Oct 08:43 2.58x +$15.80#422:4408:5218:5905:0615:14
Other exit rules on the same coins
RuleTradesMean2x+10x+LosersP&L at $10
B S group tp10, 20 min44.22x400+$128.76
Z control: other slot1 values, tp582.11x403+$89.08
A S group tp5, 20 min, no stop43.01x400+$80.27
C S group tp3, 20 min42.60x400+$64.17
Every trade (exit rule A)
#PoolTimeInWhy soldResult
40xa3073ee1926df7ab68a76ffb8165136f9ad3a2f0271af7f51b79441c5650492811 Oct 08:43$10time · cap $13k → $34k2.58x (+158.0%)
+$15.80
30x3c0cb0066ad3a31e3f1d801cbd7d0141d48abc5f0fcc9e7c9667f7ebc25f5ed311 Oct 08:06$10time · cap $18k → $43k2.33x (+133.0%)
+$13.30
20xb91c3545d528e521a2770754f768abd66879221ed4268e9d5cd4025ca5ec640410 Oct 12:32$10time2.27x (+126.7%)
+$12.67
10xe7a8eb9bdaffce092be7169edb2cf390ee41e93f1de24131682767758253d73d09 Oct 22:54$10tp · cap $16k → $80k4.85x (+385.0%)
+$38.50
Full Test Manager report
# H100-S: hooked fee-100, hook slot1 gate (A1 #342) forward paper test (Test Manager) - 11 Oct 08:00 UTC

Feed v4tape (forward only). Universe: fee 100, hook low 14 bits 0x144, WETH/native. Entry first swap +60 s, reserve >= 0.3 ETH, 0.04 ETH, 0.01% fee + 3% slippage per side, pull (liq <= 50% of peak) = 0. Briefs: fw/a1-h100-review.md, fw/a2-corr-pulls.md, fw/a1-hooked-initpx.md.
- Hooked fee-100 pools seen: 33; waiting 0; open arm-runs 0; skipped {'reserve<0.5': 11}; hook sizes {11689: 22}
- arm A (tp5, stop none, 20 min): all n 5, mean 2.86x, <1x 0, zeros 0 | v11689 n 5, mean 2.86x, <1x 0, zeros 0 | hi-init n 4, mean 2.36x, <1x 0, zeros 0 | std-init n 1, mean 4.85x, <1x 0, zeros 0 | ON-TIME only (feed lag<=30 s) n 4, mean 3.01x, <1x 0, zeros 0 | late n 1, mean 2.25x, <1x 0, zeros 0
- arm B (tp10, stop none, 20 min): all n 5, mean 3.83x, <1x 0, zeros 0 | v11689 n 5, mean 3.83x, <1x 0, zeros 0 | hi-init n 4, mean 2.36x, <1x 0, zeros 0 | std-init n 1, mean 9.70x, <1x 0, zeros 0 | ON-TIME only (feed lag<=30 s) n 4, mean 4.22x, <1x 0, zeros 0 | late n 1, mean 2.25x, <1x 0, zeros 0
- arm C (tp3, stop none, 20 min): all n 5, mean 2.67x, <1x 0, zeros 0 | v11689 n 5, mean 2.67x, <1x 0, zeros 0 | hi-init n 4, mean 2.60x, <1x 0, zeros 0 | std-init n 1, mean 2.91x, <1x 0, zeros 0 | ON-TIME only (feed lag<=30 s) n 4, mean 2.60x, <1x 0, zeros 0 | late n 1, mean 2.91x, <1x 0, zeros 0
- arm Z (tp5, stop none, 20 min): all n 17, mean 1.57x, <1x 8, zeros 8 | v11689 n 17, mean 1.57x, <1x 8, zeros 8 | hi-init n 0, mean 0.00x, <1x 0, zeros 0 | std-init n 17, mean 1.57x, <1x 8, zeros 8 | ON-TIME only (feed lag<=30 s) n 8, mean 2.11x, <1x 3, zeros 3 | late n 9, mean 1.10x, <1x 5, zeros 5
- Sim expects (A1 fw/a1-iter21.md): S group tp5 3.47, tp10 4.19, tp3 2.57; rest (Z) tp5 2.14. Longest loss streak arm A: 0 (10 in a row = stop and review).
- QUIET exits (#172): pool stopped swapping before the hold ended; v4tape has no ModifyLiquidity so a silent pull looks the same. Counted as 0 (conservative) in net_x; column x_if_quiet_sold has the old last-price value. Quiet exits whose pool has a logged liquidity removal (liq.jsonl, forward from 14:48 UTC 9 Oct, #180): 3. Quiet count per arm: A 0, B 0, C 0, Z 8.
- Late = feed lag (emitted - init, or entry swap emitted - block time) > 30 s: live would not have entered at +60 s (#153). Judge arms by the ON-TIME line. v4tape has no ModifyLiquidity events yet, so pulls are invisible here (a pool pulled early just stops swapping; trust the sim's pull rates, ~22%).
- Sign check agree 0, disagree 13082.
- Arm F (A1-LADDER #241, fw/a1-iter13.md): same entry, sell 1/3 at 2x, 1/3 at 5x, 1/3 at 15x, rest at 20 min, pull/quiet = 0 for the rest; sim 2.37 vs tp3 2.39 with total-loss share 5 % vs 14 %. Judge by P&L and worst day vs arm A, not only the mean.
- Kill (A1): arm A mean (tp5, 20 min) < 1.5 after 40 forward trades, or pulled share > 25%. Group S = hook slot1 at creation block+1 in (1000000000000.0, 10000000000000.0) (eth_getStorageAt, archive). Size <= 0.1 ETH. Z = control (other slot1). Ready for live only after 2 profitable days, no bugs, enough trades; sellability (hook skim, Ben eth_call) still open; only Ben switches (D-030).