late5

v3 +60s: >=5 new signers in 30-60s, cap<150k, trail50 · paper, $10 a trade, since 17 Oct · idea #626 · updated 17 Oct 10:11 Bangkok, refreshes every minute.

Not verified yet: treat these numbers as unproven

Waiting for: fwd n20; replay with pulls=0x 0.99x n483 (292 pulls); analyst replay 3.3x/2.5x had no rug model, expect killbot to decide

Still open:

Paper run, no real money

Test Manager forward test on research-box. Kill rule: fwd mean<1.0 at n30. Live only after 2 profitable days without bugs; only Ben switches.

Total P&L
+$259.34
Trades done
40
10 up, 30 down
Best trade
21.5x
Exit rule shown
Q
trail 0.6x/50% 6h, pull=0x

Replay of past coins (not in the numbers above): 462 trades, mean 0.96x, -$189.35 at $10. Backtest, no forward evidence.

P&L over time (US dollars, Bangkok time)

Each step is a trade with exit rule Q, numbered in time order.

$0$100$200$300trade 1 at 16 Oct 16:35 7.41x +$64.05trade 2 at 16 Oct 16:35 0.00x -$10.00trade 3 at 16 Oct 16:44 0.00x -$10.00trade 4 at 16 Oct 16:53 0.00x -$10.00trade 5 at 16 Oct 17:08 10.62x +$96.19trade 6 at 16 Oct 17:20 0.00x -$10.00trade 7 at 16 Oct 17:33 0.00x -$10.00trade 8 at 16 Oct 17:39 0.00x -$10.00trade 9 at 16 Oct 18:10 0.00x -$10.00trade 10 at 16 Oct 18:41 0.00x -$10.00trade 11 at 16 Oct 19:38 0.00x -$10.00trade 12 at 16 Oct 19:41 0.00x -$10.00trade 13 at 16 Oct 19:47 5.52x +$45.22trade 14 at 16 Oct 20:37 0.00x -$10.00trade 15 at 16 Oct 20:38 2.60x +$15.95trade 16 at 16 Oct 20:54 0.00x -$10.00trade 17 at 16 Oct 20:59 1.58x +$5.83trade 18 at 16 Oct 21:50 5.74x +$47.42trade 19 at 16 Oct 22:17 3.27x +$22.71trade 20 at 16 Oct 22:39 0.00x -$10.00trade 21 at 16 Oct 23:22 0.00x -$10.00trade 22 at 17 Oct 01:51 0.00x -$10.00trade 23 at 17 Oct 01:57 0.00x -$10.00trade 24 at 17 Oct 02:01 0.00x -$10.00trade 25 at 17 Oct 02:04 0.00x -$10.00trade 26 at 17 Oct 02:10 0.00x -$10.00trade 27 at 17 Oct 02:16 0.00x -$10.00trade 28 at 17 Oct 02:18 0.00x -$10.00trade 29 at 17 Oct 02:20 3.34x +$23.43trade 30 at 17 Oct 02:51 21.48x +$204.78trade 31 at 17 Oct 06:26 0.00x -$10.00trade 32 at 17 Oct 06:51 0.00x -$10.00trade 33 at 17 Oct 06:54 0.00x -$10.00trade 34 at 17 Oct 07:10 0.00x -$10.00trade 35 at 17 Oct 07:16 4.38x +$33.76trade 36 at 17 Oct 08:44 0.00x -$10.00trade 37 at 17 Oct 08:53 0.00x -$10.00trade 38 at 17 Oct 09:06 0.00x -$10.00trade 39 at 17 Oct 09:10 0.00x -$10.00trade 40 at 17 Oct 09:46 0.00x -$10.0016:2520:5301:2205:5010:19
Every trade (exit rule Q)
#PoolTimeInWhy soldResult
400x3ca3d99a32bdea1c48c51f59aa36e4a1c593ae0e17 Oct 09:46$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
390xc2d8f3eb808398c4655faf490569d3c17841d3aa17 Oct 09:10$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
380x36fd4f108973c2ed7451f336384738a191a4667f17 Oct 09:06$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
370x51d37ebfa43c0ef7ce3308931837e6d9d03b1dc317 Oct 08:53$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
360x9c5225d925bad6c753b81e9e9c607a0c73878b4a17 Oct 08:44$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
350xd8053640204b29975f6f1d5770782372764437f917 Oct 07:16$10trail4.38x (+337.6%)
+$33.76
340xda0932ae9b95b2c072cfe6e927f7b4ecb7777cc417 Oct 07:10$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
330xda7d8b8717a1c1dd1b58fa3012b4aa43dcb0c07317 Oct 06:54$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
320xa43f16017ec888a3a5d3ca38060afe46b5ab22e617 Oct 06:51$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
310x19aec8e122b0b5c5256eb0a4436464e5062e62f217 Oct 06:26$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
300x58d9ab51de8242f331699b54f6c6f5992b73f55f17 Oct 02:51$10trail21.48x (+2047.8%)
+$204.78
290x6f059b6c9e0c5e365a76752f1d6f70270dddcc6e17 Oct 02:20$10trail3.34x (+234.3%)
+$23.43
280x76ba92473ecb61258645ee5d337e8b57f96143e117 Oct 02:18$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
270x87fd95d0256613dc7143a2079048cb72c2f73eb817 Oct 02:16$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
260xfa0c1f331861c41b63effcda14d6aeabf173497d17 Oct 02:10$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
250x9ed21bd7ce9e433e21754234248c6b3bce0d4dfa17 Oct 02:04$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
240x37437fcf0b9dd7b99740dd7d4df8d61504c3f98b17 Oct 02:01$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
230xfe143677365a373535aa610d463188e49829cd6717 Oct 01:57$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
220x8d041f2b2e391e7b10be1df309d54f6c93cb392617 Oct 01:51$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
210x9fbc0771ebbd2c9a1567225eb740b0714d8df25316 Oct 23:22$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
200xd62e63398d8dfdfbcdfcb2bc4589ab6d5543f47516 Oct 22:39$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
190xf7514e89f722067dedb81687daecb4335f4de8d216 Oct 22:17$10trail3.27x (+227.1%)
+$22.71
180xe1f9ad13b2ed17097396cb09bd73f8a6d6a2b8b716 Oct 21:50$10trail5.74x (+474.2%)
+$47.42
170xe6a5b1775bca3fc7479e935c104a7791d488477216 Oct 20:59$10trail1.58x (+58.3%)
+$5.83
160x6b6597e333f16d904f1259d26d978e283759cb2316 Oct 20:54$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
150x4a8d33b219741a756c2ce188bb08f256ea07a0fa16 Oct 20:38$10trail2.60x (+159.5%)
+$15.95
140x57871c80b082bd29ddc5c37d8a44acdd2e0eddfa16 Oct 20:37$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
130xa3bce21832ef3fec74436a2b3470cffd78d58f0416 Oct 19:47$10trail5.52x (+452.2%)
+$45.22
120x1a1dd2805b3f02f89215fb20fcb43ae59c331ba916 Oct 19:41$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
110x0ef95c9d943ebc9bbc4e885477b5f7b382bd1eee16 Oct 19:38$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
100x3f5f18274833bd7c8de46d1500d1f70593fd0cd916 Oct 18:41$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
90x459e58750b228211ff6c444a4048df1154c8488e16 Oct 18:10$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
80x1a8ab30bfff01cbc7e5f63ea5a1cee23c27b2eca16 Oct 17:39$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
70xa5cff12c7a60643fb32251bc1589a526d724ea4616 Oct 17:33$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
60x71ec038a23fe90fc71f8737db82e37c7af962c2c16 Oct 17:20$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
50xc8d380fc86185888714cb950515ed36ed990dd6616 Oct 17:08$10trail10.62x (+961.9%)
+$96.19
40x882916ff932b55b16c119d2a828163752bda095716 Oct 16:53$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
30x78040fe9c70031d3437eca4bfc76d2ae938fbaef16 Oct 16:44$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
20x68d5f0344b70c7e021a27a760c350297e748f0f916 Oct 16:35$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
10x74dad191bfef53236f8301eadac464f49ea8c1db16 Oct 16:35$10trail7.41x (+640.5%)
+$64.05
Full Test Manager report
# late5 paper (testmgr2) 17 Oct 03:11 UTC
rule in script header. Open legs 1.
- Q: n 502, mean 1.01x, median 0.00x, win 128, pull 308, time 4