A3-NH100
v4 no-hook fee-100, buy at first 300k touch, flip 2.5-3x · paper, $10 a trade, since 10 Oct · idea #734 · updated 14 Oct 07:00 Bangkok, refreshes every minute.
Not verified yet: treat these numbers as unproven
Waiting for: BLIND: v4tape fix (ppfeeds #2363) pending; forward data invalid, do not verify/kill on it (testmgr #2365). Owner testmgr2; re-check when fix lands.
Still open:
- auditor 5-check
Paper run, no real money
Test Manager forward test on research-box. Kill rule: arm A mean < 1.15 over 30 closed or pulls >15%. Live only after 2 profitable days without bugs; only Ben switches.
Total P&L
+$104.31
Trades done
42
24 up, 18 down
Best trade
2.4x
Exit rule shown
A
P&L over time (US dollars, Bangkok time)
Each step is a trade with exit rule A, numbered in time order.
Other exit rules on the same coins
| Rule | Trades | Mean | 2x+ | 10x+ | Losers | P&L at $10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 41 | 1.27x | 4 | 0 | 18 | +$109.45 |
| A | 42 | 1.25x | 6 | 0 | 18 | +$104.31 |
| B | 41 | 1.23x | 4 | 0 | 18 | +$93.73 |
Every trade (exit rule A)
| # | Pool | Time | In | Why sold | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0x799b878a4a171bd96684a78143ede152818a8632561b0cd3c2343c0e554424eb | 14 Oct 05:35 | $10 | tp | 2.35x (+135.2%) +$13.52 |
| 41 | 0x7866bcdb087a9c7f6f5437fe8c10cb9f9c2f1e896dcee78e58f59d5e61b144ec | 14 Oct 04:27 | $10 | tp | 2.35x (+135.2%) +$13.52 |
| 40 | 0xa4d404900c7daa6f9c54adea0a076721fef3da42e5c80348b3be17ff69ff8aef | 14 Oct 03:46 | $10 | tp | 2.35x (+135.2%) +$13.52 |
| 39 | 0xfc8ef45b8d58234a97f1515930a5f7fae344b6567c1bbe7926cce33aef33bf00 | 14 Oct 00:03 | $10 | quiet | 1.09x (+9.2%) +$0.92 |
| 38 | 0xe14da02e36c472c564eb82b81b4432a5e021e578026a486193511a45bf20cdf1 | 13 Oct 23:44 | $10 | stop | 0.53x (-47.3%) -$4.73 |
| 37 | 0x0532aa3ebb34596567a50d83755614ca06e8e6c0bfd33375ed92df8d9056c399 | 13 Oct 22:08 | $10 | tp | 2.35x (+135.2%) +$13.52 |
| 36 | 0x598db42715a39c95f10469574115c420de5ec56704b51da854ba0acc3ab53f15 | 13 Oct 18:12 | $10 | quiet | 0.94x (-6.2%) -$0.62 |
| 35 | 0x5a64ba45d07cf0e4ad0676881da5ffd539f13858f041e036f4df57ca5168bc47 | 13 Oct 15:55 | $10 | quiet | 0.99x (-0.7%) -$0.07 |
| 34 | 0xb0f76022b20dde51c69fbeec94bc6b98c2d65111cd92445825f715d9f9dfd209 | 13 Oct 12:28 | $10 | quiet | 1.14x (+14.2%) +$1.42 |
| 33 | 0x9129199426d8fbdefda404dae6fe5fab369a0c1d3da1a0d6142e4df5c4fa93d7 | 13 Oct 10:40 | $10 | quiet | 0.91x (-8.9%) -$0.89 |
| 32 | 0x06febdc9fa1c20862f114d010913732f440d9bb91a1f76e0b1f1a8f35428d787 | 13 Oct 09:12 | $10 | quiet | 1.24x (+24.1%) +$2.41 |
| 31 | 0xec0b2dcc5fd7cae2634ffc442001e0155b11f49856304dca7021d099ab0b1b85 | 13 Oct 08:36 | $10 | tp | 2.35x (+135.2%) +$13.52 |
| 30 | 0xfeb09be734a36a6f1ec7ec6dfbe9f10e3106e336b6b202382ecfc7fe9d0d6ac7 | 13 Oct 02:34 | $10 | quiet | 1.34x (+33.9%) +$3.39 |
| 29 | 0xb7cfbc9a73ff7c11a93bfc5ae3b973879d1e525177a0f1ddef576dcb732b0b03 | 13 Oct 02:32 | $10 | quiet | 1.18x (+18.1%) +$1.81 |
| 28 | 0x66db74aa7f1b973043b879328489283bf89747bd24f9364b44c7eb17eb1181a4 | 13 Oct 00:26 | $10 | quiet | 0.95x (-5.1%) -$0.51 |
| 27 | 0x45929ba3cf25ac51cabc55c17433b7e86284a9707080eb79664945840004137f | 12 Oct 22:04 | $10 | quiet | 1.20x (+20.1%) +$2.01 |
| 26 | 0x5a9137ee458ad57680ccdc678730802009318a9be7afd8cc5e4fd24cb38fc4c1 | 12 Oct 20:21 | $10 | quiet | 1.29x (+29.5%) +$2.95 |
| 25 | 0xdd2faa392ab3ae14d302366d3ab7d5b1c04a5eebcf5df6e241f58d6ef6314582 | 12 Oct 20:18 | $10 | quiet | 0.89x (-11.3%) -$1.13 |
| 24 | 0xc8150969a5c10779240e3b19437e3214486a36762613c8711a304e44c23b3fd3 | 12 Oct 18:37 | $10 | quiet | 1.64x (+64.3%) +$6.43 |
| 23 | 0x41f81a91c9b3f74c0281a2236f9ff8d4f5437c9a19b3056ba0d9ceb2b904d27c | 12 Oct 10:45 | $10 | quiet | 1.40x (+40.0%) +$4.00 |
| 22 | 0x266d00f15479e041cd4bc7c83f730afe1fe107f5e5ac113fb9db85b46487bc0d | 12 Oct 07:19 | $10 | quiet | 1.30x (+30.5%) +$3.05 |
| 21 | 0x86dbda551350334fb1b16dab10a8a9562f3175efea2ec993d1fe0f777bf93088 | 12 Oct 03:51 | $10 | quiet | 0.96x (-3.8%) -$0.38 |
| 20 | 0x8581c87bde38cdd1ad6289831c04361e27dd8d6f41d71328873364efd7cb40af | 11 Oct 15:33 | $10 | quiet | 0.83x (-16.6%) -$1.66 |
| 19 | 0xf59a4c1ee116be53dfaa5952c5f2daa5df14a32da6ddb93af14625cd4825f7bb | 11 Oct 13:34 | $10 | quiet | 0.85x (-15.1%) -$1.51 |
| 18 | 0x1f49fdfaed7777e8e340b82ac3dbc73acde9996701a269fb88ddbce91944030a | 11 Oct 04:27 | $10 | stop | 0.56x (-44.2%) -$4.42 |
| 17 | 0xc9e5ed30e0431015d323f1f18396ff2abbb6de1b94468136336770c401d69c5d | 11 Oct 03:29 | $10 | quiet | 1.00x (+0.5%) +$0.05 |
| 16 | 0x84cf7feaf8b5aee518be890deb40e9aa6fe9bc749409e5e4138ba19f338fa247 | 11 Oct 02:06 | $10 | quiet | 0.79x (-21.0%) -$2.10 |
| 15 | 0xdd50e8e26887d1b82a22d46054a91c00ca1c333fd9e917f913692263a2da00a3 | 10 Oct 23:52 | $10 | quiet | 0.73x (-26.5%) -$2.65 |
| 14 | 0x467bec5c600c0acf7a21a741a41702bcb82990a1b5701eb698351a5a090e187f | 10 Oct 23:37 | $10 | quiet | 1.00x (+0.4%) +$0.04 |
| 13 | 0x440b91c3138893567a66b1a7432d0daa4b1e2bdfa4df66db2a48bc864e1573c9 | 10 Oct 20:33 | $10 | quiet | 0.80x (-20.0%) -$2.00 |
| 12 | 0x7335481911c1061cdd73679a0c16a22f4a6a318887024a7c3e2b98cf00f134d3 | 10 Oct 18:45 | $10 | quiet | 0.91x (-9.0%) -$0.90 |
| 11 | 0x82440c3171382b57686569a5d2debad74216ea9a02d3ed16241e916d6abdd197 | 10 Oct 16:33 | $10 | quiet | 0.91x (-8.9%) -$0.89 |
| 10 | 0xd5e1860ba85e4a26802f8bcacf12a6b3e9a7dc0017341eb0a84be2d755a90f3a | 10 Oct 16:33 | $10 | quiet | 1.33x (+33.4%) +$3.34 |
| 9 | 0x605e211e4ac42b1e215fd767770fc9149ea77d40e05d9d6d6b44b168111c1749 | 10 Oct 14:00 | $10 | quiet | 0.96x (-3.5%) -$0.35 |
| 8 | 0x10901a4181170576cc09ca27edcf412ba1baf5764cab82035cd712cab839dab1 | 10 Oct 11:43 | $10 | quiet | 1.32x (+32.3%) +$3.23 |
| 7 | 0x5d7bfb7bc8af7cff9087aa3ce8b84de3860905ca93ee1cc534094dc68761cbd2 | 10 Oct 03:20 | $10 | tp | 2.35x (+135.2%) +$13.52 |
| 6 | 0x601e782c70c4e5fb8178d5db97e37be309773e7d0f0a0d8f11e2cf1c066e21f1 | 10 Oct 03:19 | $10 | quiet | 1.16x (+16.4%) +$1.64 |
| 5 | 0x7da0f53a44e3d5e0f0e37d3d5bf1a03ef52f32644ff7e8e8f227102304543d0c | 10 Oct 01:48 | $10 | quiet | 0.65x (-34.6%) -$3.46 |
| 4 | 0xd98a2abca354ead56b4c1182df41f99a0b119778a85b1f7d5e7a0a3b30924081 | 10 Oct 01:25 | $10 | quiet | 1.70x (+70.0%) +$7.00 |
| 3 | 0xc367b94cdb1ba026c6db4bf39474e53275df88272290b61883efd5b8c231b82e | 10 Oct 01:14 | $10 | quiet | 1.01x (+1.3%) +$0.13 |
| 2 | 0xd1aea81150b631d376922f40ef36ffb88408ce2994e78e6b0c529c64b1cfa6f1 | 09 Oct 23:00 | $10 | quiet | 1.78x (+77.9%) +$7.79 |
| 1 | 0x080d5e7c660645345e245b8c688dbf992c06dca0ed7d77c0b5af0c056dd31135 | 09 Oct 22:42 | $10 | quiet | 0.98x (-1.5%) -$0.15 |
Full Test Manager report
# A3-NH100: v4 no-hook fee-100 pools (WETH/native), buy at first 300k touch (A3 #734) forward paper test (Test Manager) - 14 Oct 00:00 UTC
Spec: analyst3/a3-nohook100-tape-10oct.md. Feed v4tape forward only. Hunt: 2.5-3x flip from 300k (not a runner catcher). Stop 0.6x, 4 h, fee + 3% slip each side, pull = 0, quiet pool (no print to 4 h) = last print. Jump = touch price >=1.5x previous swap (skipped).
- No-hook fee-100 pools in tape: 767; with supply 741; waiting 701; open (arm legs) 8; skipped {'no supply': 22}
- arm A (tp2.5): on time n 17, mean 1.31x, <1x 5, tp 3, pull 0, quiet 13 | late (excluded) n 25, mean 1.21x, <1x 13, tp 3, pull 0, quiet 21
- arm B (tp3): on time n 16, mean 1.25x, <1x 5, tp 1, pull 0, quiet 14 | late (excluded) n 25, mean 1.22x, <1x 13, tp 1, pull 0, quiet 23
- arm C (tp5): on time n 16, mean 1.23x, <1x 5, tp 0, pull 0, quiet 15 | late (excluded) n 25, mean 1.29x, <1x 13, tp 1, pull 0, quiet 23
- Kill: arm A mean < 1.15 over >= 30 closed, or pulls > 15%. Replay: tp2.5 1.35x, tp3 1.30x, pulls 1%. Caveat: outsider sell depth unproven; cap uses a stale ETHUSD.