pons_grad cap-continuation 300-600k
Testmgr3 · miss family (pons_grad venue, new) · paper, $10 a trade, since 19 Oct · idea #685 · updated 21 Oct 07:11 Bangkok, refreshes every minute.
Not verified yet: treat these numbers as unproven
Waiting for: fwd n>=15; replay n12 1.11x; no pool_eth gate (bonding curve), pulls 0 in data; decide by 23 Oct
Still open:
- auditor 5-check
Paper run, no real money
Test Manager forward test on research-box. Kill rule: mean<1.0x with upper80<1.05 at fwd n>=20; decide by 23 Oct. Live only after 2 profitable days without bugs; only Ben switches.
Total P&L
+$1.77
Trades done
1
1 up, 0 down
Best trade
1.2x
Exit rule shown
H
pons_grad (bonding-curve venue) cross 300-600k, +15s entry, stop .7, trail 50%, hunt 1-3M
Replay of past coins (not in the numbers above): 12 trades, mean 1.11x, +$13.58 at $10. Backtest, no forward evidence.
P&L over time (US dollars, Bangkok time)
Each step is a trade with exit rule H, numbered in time order.
Every trade (exit rule H)
| # | Pool | Time | In | Why sold | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0x780580482be0d4c77f5bb5d9a6bef8c79db8b3ecd27d38983f0fdbee0d55721e | 20 Oct 07:00 | $10 | trail | 1.18x (+17.7%) +$1.77 |
Full Test Manager report
# pgcapa paper (testmgr) 21 Oct 00:11 UTC H 300-600k pons_grad hunt 1-3M. Open legs 0. - H: n 13, mean 1.12x, median 0.97x, win 6, pull 0, time 4