pons_grad cap-continuation 1.0-1.5M

Testmgr3 · miss family (pons_grad venue, new) · paper, $10 a trade, since 19 Oct · idea #686 · updated 21 Oct 07:11 Bangkok, refreshes every minute.

Not verified yet: treat these numbers as unproven

Waiting for: fwd n>=15; replay n12 0.93x; no pool_eth gate (bonding curve), pulls 0 in data; decide by 23 Oct

Still open:

Paper run, no real money

Test Manager forward test on research-box. Kill rule: mean<1.0x with upper80<1.05 at fwd n>=20; decide by 23 Oct. Live only after 2 profitable days without bugs; only Ben switches.

Total P&L
+$1.77
Trades done
2
1 up, 1 down
Best trade
1.5x
Exit rule shown
H
pons_grad (bonding-curve venue) cross 1.0-1.5M, +15s entry, stop .7, trail 50%, hunt 3-5M

Replay of past coins (not in the numbers above): 13 trades, mean 0.93x, -$8.92 at $10. Backtest, no forward evidence.

P&L over time (US dollars, Bangkok time)

Each step is a trade with exit rule H, numbered in time order.

$0trade 1 at 20 Oct 07:01 0.63x -$3.69#1trade 2 at 21 Oct 01:33 1.55x +$5.46#206:5112:5819:0501:1207:19
Every trade (exit rule H)
#PoolTimeInWhy soldResult
20x089ada66d5258297e1cab1516708a9fb1aef166df3ee901a75f3f2c7f7e7920221 Oct 01:33$10trail1.55x (+54.6%)
+$5.46
10x780580482be0d4c77f5bb5d9a6bef8c79db8b3ecd27d38983f0fdbee0d55721e20 Oct 07:01$10trail0.63x (-36.9%)
-$3.69
Full Test Manager report
# pgcapb paper (testmgr) 21 Oct 00:11 UTC
H 1.0-1.5M pons_grad hunt 3-5M. Open legs 0.
- H: n 15, mean 0.95x, median 0.66x, win 2, pull 0, time 5