V3-R300 first print after +300s
Analyst 1 · v3 fee100 cap<200k reserve>=14 ETH, >=150 buys in 0-300s · arms A-D · same pools as v3r300 (merged slot) · paper, $10 a trade, since 11 Oct · idea #1463 · updated 14 Oct 18:40 Bangkok, refreshes every minute.
Not verified yet: treat these numbers as unproven
Waiting for: audit 14 Oct: fwd B n21 1.33x band 0.73-1.93; counts as ONE slot with v3r300 (same 21 pools, exits differ only); re-audit at B n40, kill if B<1.1 at n30 (tm4)
Still open:
- KILL 14 Oct: fwd B n30 0.94x < 1.1 own kill rule
Paper run, no real money
Test Manager forward test on research-box. Kill rule: forward arm B mean < 1.1x over 30 closed. Live only after 2 profitable days without bugs; only Ben switches.
Total P&L
-$16.71
Trades done
30
6 up, 24 down
Best trade
4.7x
Exit rule shown
B
P&L over time (US dollars, Bangkok time)
Each step is a trade with exit rule B, numbered in time order.
Other exit rules on the same coins
| Rule | Trades | Mean | 2x+ | 10x+ | Losers | P&L at $10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A | 30 | 1.48x | 5 | 0 | 25 | +$143.29 |
| D | 34 | 0.97x | 3 | 0 | 31 | -$9.76 |
| B | 30 | 0.94x | 6 | 0 | 24 | -$16.71 |
| C | 34 | 0.77x | 4 | 0 | 30 | -$79.50 |
Every trade (exit rule B)
| # | Pool | Time | In | Why sold | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0xa142c2b422f6813672aac17739f8b8130e544472 | 14 Oct 18:01 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 29 | 0xcf25666279df0c56f0aff90b6106342603de6c43 | 14 Oct 13:43 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 28 | 0x5895adf12e0e4c2e209d1f0e0aab003047805acc | 14 Oct 13:30 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 27 | 0x664519ea8aaf5ebf1616dcba562b9ddbdbdc320b | 14 Oct 03:00 | $10 | time | 0.39x (-60.8%) -$6.08 |
| 26 | 0x9840c63f001db631916dd73cc412e54b1579056e | 14 Oct 02:42 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 25 | 0x04f7a114ccfb0a820e1fc82d9a1754c11a1fa341 | 14 Oct 02:28 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 24 | 0x1684d1e6d833fd2a19063b3a6f1130e371e84f24 | 14 Oct 02:05 | $10 | time | 0.00x (-99.6%) -$9.96 |
| 23 | 0xbe0cb2e009829103bd128a9cb5571718a1737cff | 14 Oct 00:48 | $10 | time | 0.00x (-99.9%) -$9.99 |
| 22 | 0x97267b531e92c01cd1626ef21057028408d091a2 | 14 Oct 00:08 | $10 | time | 0.00x (-99.9%) -$9.99 |
| 21 | 0xf5bfcb4a9156137c6dc5a7043aefc356417ebfc4 | 13 Oct 22:52 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 20 | 0x64570caafa9bcda5b8bf6816a60931b4d3beee61 | 13 Oct 22:20 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 19 | 0xcdb20dba7ef03f4a6876de57d507310f6c242e72 | 13 Oct 11:50 | $10 | time | 0.01x (-99.1%) -$9.91 |
| 18 | 0xafdfe59e5698134c3a399c90fe3b55fe17aaa925 | 13 Oct 00:31 | $10 | tp | 4.65x (+365.0%) +$36.50 |
| 17 | 0x17579f70b6f7b54db0764b344f63e6296588e838 | 13 Oct 00:06 | $10 | time | 0.00x (-99.8%) -$9.98 |
| 16 | 0x893bfab2af0c4f0fa900a7cdb82cad9097130687 | 12 Oct 23:49 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 15 | 0x27d4f7df079eef5c803f5d8befca1e037d708947 | 12 Oct 19:10 | $10 | tp | 4.65x (+365.0%) +$36.50 |
| 14 | 0x9b3554e6c26e06ebe55a7aec4e86e486379c5f6b | 12 Oct 18:56 | $10 | tp | 4.65x (+365.0%) +$36.50 |
| 13 | 0x00bb17df8548095b2eb77ceab9ccfdff916352be | 12 Oct 18:54 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 12 | 0xcac1414eac15af7a6a5fcc8bd578cbed0f9a4d15 | 12 Oct 17:55 | $10 | tp | 4.65x (+365.0%) +$36.50 |
| 11 | 0xc413db014066964952a9c20aa760ef806073e195 | 12 Oct 17:21 | $10 | time | 0.00x (-99.7%) -$9.97 |
| 10 | 0xa38e5f7ced70829d987df173d714d66da90c5c61 | 12 Oct 17:15 | $10 | tp | 4.65x (+365.0%) +$36.50 |
| 9 | 0x05f8cb3e5dad85c6acc57bc0c8ff5f44b78ad408 | 12 Oct 17:00 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 8 | 0x336efc6d509c89c700ff4dbe15828dd83d987a63 | 12 Oct 16:06 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 7 | 0x0504f58b517948745eba7ece065599e062219ed4 | 12 Oct 15:52 | $10 | time | 0.00x (-99.7%) -$9.97 |
| 6 | 0x48094f719a58656eec31291e6a0652142c3113aa | 12 Oct 15:51 | $10 | time | 0.00x (-99.8%) -$9.98 |
| 5 | 0x449a7e471ebfd47b4f42dad307f40a66e2019f8d | 12 Oct 13:06 | $10 | time | 0.00x (-99.7%) -$9.97 |
| 4 | 0x430251e2e5db816a1ccfc9db708347060fc6cb1a | 12 Oct 09:21 | $10 | tp | 4.65x (+365.0%) +$36.50 |
| 3 | 0xafdcfbaee898665914814d63f2719fef908356cb | 12 Oct 08:31 | $10 | time | 0.00x (-99.7%) -$9.97 |
| 2 | 0x2912e6522efa87605aa38c2985a7a62cfd422929 | 12 Oct 08:17 | $10 | time | 0.00x (-99.7%) -$9.97 |
| 1 | 0xa84da3db805362edfb3f6154097b3af92984a772 | 12 Oct 03:40 | $10 | time | 0.00x (-99.7%) -$9.97 |
Full Test Manager report
# V3-R300 forward paper test (Test Manager) - 14 Oct 11:40 UTC Hunt: enter first print >= birth+300 s, entry cap 0.5-1.2M (rule: fee 100, first-print cap<200k, reserve>=14 ETH, >=150 buys in 0-300 s), target 3M-10M+ runners (A1 #1463, feed ppfeeds #1473). Arms: A tp10 no SL | B tp5 no SL | C tp5 sl.3 | D tp10 sl.3. Hold 12 h, net = mult*0.93, pull = 0, no-SL arms mark unresolved at last print. - Feed: 1391 evals, 49 picks (0 without an entry print yet). Replay (picks before 11 Oct 01:41 UTC, in-sample): 15 entries; FORWARD: 34. - ALL picks: - A: n 45 closed, mean 2.07x, median 0.00x, win 11, tp 9, stop 0, pull 16, time 20 - B: n 45 closed, mean 1.46x, median 0.00x, win 14, tp 14, stop 0, pull 15, time 16 - C: n 49 closed, mean 1.15x, median 0.27x, win 10, tp 10, stop 38, pull 1, time 0 - D: n 49 closed, mean 1.35x, median 0.27x, win 7, tp 5, stop 41, pull 1, time 2 - FORWARD only: - A: n 30 closed, mean 1.48x, median 0.00x, win 5, tp 4, stop 0, pull 12, time 14 - B: n 30 closed, mean 0.94x, median 0.00x, win 6, tp 6, stop 0, pull 11, time 13 - C: n 34 closed, mean 0.77x, median 0.27x, win 4, tp 4, stop 29, pull 1, time 0 - D: n 34 closed, mean 0.97x, median 0.27x, win 3, tp 2, stop 30, pull 1, time 1 - Kill: forward arm A mean < 1.0 over 15 closed (A1 sim 2.63 gross, in-sample, n 27). Keep needs 2 profitable days, no bugs. - Limits: mark-to-print exits, entry depth not audited; forward closes only after 12 h or tp. Only Ben switches live (D-030).