A3-SEEDHI v3 fee100 seed<12k, cap 1-3M

Analyst 3 · v3 fee-100, first cap <12k, cap at +300 s in 1-3M, depth>=40k · TP5 / TP10 · W stop.2 tp20 · paper, $10 a trade, since 11 Oct · idea #493 #1785 #537 · updated 13 Oct 23:40 Bangkok, refreshes every minute.

Not verified yet: treat these numbers as unproven

Waiting for: Forward n 8 TP5 (2 wins, median 0.47). Needs 30 (~2 weeks at 2/day): ask for 30-day replay. Owner testmgr

Still open:

Paper run, no real money

Test Manager forward test on research-box. Kill rule: TP5 mean <1.2 after 30 closed; arm W (stop .2 tp20 4h, #2277): kill if ex-top3 mean <1.0 at n20. Live only after 2 profitable days without bugs; only Ben switches.

Total P&L
+$3.15
Trades done
20
3 up, 17 down
Best trade
4.7x
Exit rule shown
TP5
P&L over time (US dollars, Bangkok time)

Each step is a trade with exit rule TP5, numbered in time order.

$0$20$40$60trade 1 at 06 Oct 19:53 0.47x -$5.29#1trade 2 at 07 Oct 04:38 0.46x -$5.43#2trade 3 at 08 Oct 20:53 4.71x +$37.06#3trade 4 at 08 Oct 21:01 0.45x -$5.52#4trade 5 at 10 Oct 01:52 4.71x +$37.06#5trade 6 at 10 Oct 09:12 0.44x -$5.61#6trade 7 at 10 Oct 10:33 0.47x -$5.34#7trade 8 at 10 Oct 11:45 0.47x -$5.33#8trade 9 at 12 Oct 17:00 0.46x -$5.38#9trade 10 at 12 Oct 18:54 0.45x -$5.51#10trade 11 at 12 Oct 18:56 0.44x -$5.59#11trade 12 at 12 Oct 21:15 0.47x -$5.33#12trade 13 at 12 Oct 23:49 0.46x -$5.37#13trade 14 at 13 Oct 00:06 0.45x -$5.52#14trade 15 at 13 Oct 00:31 3.20x +$22.03#15trade 16 at 13 Oct 10:42 0.47x -$5.32#16trade 17 at 13 Oct 11:50 0.42x -$5.75#17trade 18 at 13 Oct 19:10 0.43x -$5.70#18trade 19 at 13 Oct 20:15 0.47x -$5.32#19trade 20 at 13 Oct 23:24 0.43x -$5.69#2006 Oct08 Oct10 Oct12 Oct13 Oct
Other exit rules on the same coins
RuleTradesMean2x+10x+LosersP&L at $10
W stop .2 tp20 4h (#537 SEEDHI-WIDE)202.14x6214+$228.63
TP10 201.32x3017+$63.24
TP5 201.02x3017+$3.15
Every trade (exit rule TP5)
#PoolTimeInWhy soldResult
200x3628437f58b57438bad4284eab5712767852679213 Oct 23:24$10stop0.43x (-56.9%)
-$5.69
190xb1d2c0fb971770369cf3a44a7dc8f7c28321144713 Oct 20:15$10stop0.47x (-53.2%)
-$5.32
180x1e0b00fc682f12d852acbf855708951af9a1b90313 Oct 19:10$10stop0.43x (-57.0%)
-$5.70
170xcdb20dba7ef03f4a6876de57d507310f6c242e7213 Oct 11:50$10stop0.42x (-57.5%)
-$5.75
160x63c454e9c8e15c2a5ae1bd45d75dcac392cd402e13 Oct 10:42$10stop0.47x (-53.2%)
-$5.32
150xafdfe59e5698134c3a399c90fe3b55fe17aaa92513 Oct 00:31$10time3.20x (+220.3%)
+$22.03
140x17579f70b6f7b54db0764b344f63e6296588e83813 Oct 00:06$10stop0.45x (-55.2%)
-$5.52
130x893bfab2af0c4f0fa900a7cdb82cad909713068712 Oct 23:49$10stop0.46x (-53.7%)
-$5.37
120x18c1790bb6f68baef9383553edc3362b69cc502d12 Oct 21:15$10stop0.47x (-53.3%)
-$5.33
110x9b3554e6c26e06ebe55a7aec4e86e486379c5f6b12 Oct 18:56$10stop0.44x (-55.9%)
-$5.59
100x00bb17df8548095b2eb77ceab9ccfdff916352be12 Oct 18:54$10stop0.45x (-55.1%)
-$5.51
90x05f8cb3e5dad85c6acc57bc0c8ff5f44b78ad40812 Oct 17:00$10stop0.46x (-53.8%)
-$5.38
80xaf05af5d631f7bc81aeb972cd6504a17eec49ac610 Oct 11:45$10stop0.47x (-53.3%)
-$5.33
70x774859255a2ae34806e2cb3cb10a7d2dd082231a10 Oct 10:33$10stop0.47x (-53.4%)
-$5.34
60xcad356f8f0239c8280a6b06529f33543ec93427010 Oct 09:12$10stop0.44x (-56.1%)
-$5.61
50x59668c09c0758f9e8ace38c184360e020576fd5210 Oct 01:52$10tp4.71x (+370.6%)
+$37.06
40x16ef892190b94eaba7020f1a8587fcd5276d6b5108 Oct 21:01$10stop0.45x (-55.2%)
-$5.52
30xd8a01cde92d5072bf981614b2592e01640b8c96208 Oct 20:53$10tp4.71x (+370.6%)
+$37.06
20x587129b682c1ff9aa01c0f0faff28e5bbe50172c07 Oct 04:38$10stop0.46x (-54.3%)
-$5.43
10x2cdf271007c7ebb6013d55492e156031c535094f06 Oct 19:53$10stop0.47x (-52.9%)
-$5.29
Full Test Manager report
# A3-SEEDHI paper test (testmgr) - 13 Oct 16:40 UTC

Rule (A3 fw: analyst3/a3-miss-10oct.md idea 1, #1785): v3 fee-100 pool, first-swap cap <12k, cap at +300 s in 1-3M, ETH-side depth >=40k USD, no pull before; buy at +303 s; stop 0.5x; tp 5x / 10x; 4 h; pull = 0; 1% fee + 2% impact each side. Hunt: entry 1-3M at +5 min, target 5M+.
- Pools with a +300 s swap 478; waiting 0; open legs 0; skipped {}
- TP5: n 20, mean 1.02x, median 0.46x, win 3, tp 2, stop 17, pull 0, time 1
- TP10: n 20, mean 1.32x, median 0.46x, win 3, tp 1, stop 17, pull 0, time 2
- W: n 20, mean 2.14x, median 0.19x, win 6, tp 0, stop 14, pull 0, time 6 (wide: stop 0.2, tp20, hold 4 h; #2277)
- A3 crude sim expected mean ~2.5 (optimistic, checkpoints only). Kill: mean <1.3 after 20 closed.
- Not tested: real fill depth, sell path into 5M.