A2-STOPLIQ
mc5 entry; at 0.5x hold with stop 0.1 if pool WETH >=0.35x of entry · paper, $10 a trade, since 13 Oct · idea #545 · updated 14 Oct 08:20 Bangkok, refreshes every minute.
Not verified yet: treat these numbers as unproven
Waiting for: forward sample: needs n>=20 held trades; sellability of held coins untested
Still open:
- auditor 5-check
Paper run, no real money
Test Manager forward test on research-box. Kill rule: forward n>=20 held trades mean <1.0, or held rug >25%. Live only after 2 profitable days without bugs; only Ben switches.
Total P&L
-$49.48
Trades done
7
0 up, 7 down
Best trade
0.9x
Exit rule shown
SL10
gate .35 -> stop .10
P&L over time (US dollars, Bangkok time)
Each step is a trade with exit rule SL10, numbered in time order.
Other exit rules on the same coins
| Rule | Trades | Mean | 2x+ | 10x+ | Losers | P&L at $10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIVE stop 0.5 as live | 7 | 0.52x | 0 | 0 | 7 | -$33.93 |
| SL10g65 gate .65 -> stop .10 | 7 | 0.36x | 0 | 0 | 7 | -$45.10 |
| SL20 gate .35 -> stop .20 | 7 | 0.34x | 0 | 0 | 7 | -$46.27 |
| SL10 gate .35 -> stop .10 | 7 | 0.29x | 0 | 0 | 7 | -$49.48 |
Every trade (exit rule SL10)
| # | Pool | Time | In | Why sold | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0xfa83d3d94ed51f991c78231cda9e18099e731398 | 14 Oct 04:33 | $10 | stop | 0.46x (-53.6%) -$5.36 |
| 6 | 0x2213b6c6ecbd2144b01a82c14b445ffc2ba53fb8 | 14 Oct 02:48 | $10 | stop | 0.09x (-90.6%) -$9.06 |
| 5 | 0x9840c63f001db631916dd73cc412e54b1579056e | 14 Oct 02:42 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 4 | 0xcff056db54a41d4dff4f1b9c2d7641781a5854f0 | 14 Oct 02:28 | $10 | time | 0.94x (-5.9%) -$0.59 |
| 3 | 0x20430c7a7d0e53c7fa9fdd42f87cbde4068c7be0 | 14 Oct 02:16 | $10 | stop | 0.46x (-53.6%) -$5.36 |
| 2 | 0x1684d1e6d833fd2a19063b3a6f1130e371e84f24 | 14 Oct 02:05 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 1 | 0xf5bfcb4a9156137c6dc5a7043aefc356417ebfc4 | 13 Oct 22:52 | $10 | stop | 0.09x (-91.1%) -$9.11 |
Full Test Manager report
# STOPLIQ: mc5 stop 0.5 -> hold with stop 0.1 if pool WETH intact (forward paper, testmgr2, idea #545) Made 14 Oct 01:20 UTC. Pools created from 13 Oct 08:00 UTC. Same entry as live mc5. Paper only; only Ben switches live (D-030). | arm | rule | closed | open | mean x | median | wins >=2x | held trades | held mean | pulls | |---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---| | LIVE | gate 0.50 -> stop 0.50 | 7 | 3 | 0.52 | 0.46 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | | SL10 | gate 0.35 -> stop 0.10 | 7 | 3 | 0.29 | 0.09 | 0 | 4 | 0.05 | 2 | | SL20 | gate 0.35 -> stop 0.20 | 7 | 3 | 0.34 | 0.19 | 0 | 4 | 0.13 | 1 | | SL10g65 | gate 0.65 -> stop 0.10 | 7 | 3 | 0.36 | 0.44 | 0 | 3 | 0.06 | 1 | Kill (analyst2): forward n>=20 held trades with mean < 1.0, or held rug >25%. Replay (v3hist n94): live 1.34, stop .10 gate .35 2.11 (late half 1.03).