TOP1-MC5 buyer concentration log
Analyst 2 · read-only: top1 buyer share <0.11 on mc5 band · paper, $10 a trade, since 10 Oct · idea #496 · updated 11 Oct 15:30 Bangkok, refreshes every minute.
Not verified yet: treat these numbers as unproven
Waiting for: 36 logged, all top1<0.11 so no gap measurable; decide at 60 pools. Owner testmgr3.
Still open:
- log only: retire
Paper run, no real money
Test Manager forward test on research-box. Kill rule: gap <0.1 after 60 pools. Live only after 2 profitable days without bugs; only Ben switches.
Total P&L
+$37.84
Trades done
36
2 up, 34 down
Best trade
13.0x
Exit rule shown
A
P&L over time (US dollars, Bangkok time)
Each step is a trade with exit rule A, numbered in time order.
Every trade (exit rule A)
| # | Pool | Time | In | Why sold | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0x4ad68babd3a973c00329b690d7678a6c71289703 | 10 Oct 23:59 | $10 | 0.91x (-9.1%) -$0.91 | |
| 35 | 0x967d9148c71fcf6aebaf2c4c79d8dde33e4a5e9d | 10 Oct 19:19 | $10 | 0.53x (-47.1%) -$4.71 | |
| 34 | 0x555796ee4c2b89557f49e4208402161c68a30c2f | 10 Oct 13:53 | $10 | 0.52x (-48.0%) -$4.80 | |
| 33 | 0x36dd4552b6dce71eb775e2c8024e791581d47cad | 10 Oct 12:15 | $10 | 12.97x (+1196.7%) +$119.67 | |
| 32 | 0xb8a3bc9d428e82096e672079900dcbda0f3e3b21 | 10 Oct 11:43 | $10 | 0.36x (-64.2%) -$6.42 | |
| 31 | 0xd92366a96c47803accbb45017523c3bc1fbf8918 | 10 Oct 08:49 | $10 | 0.46x (-53.9%) -$5.39 | |
| 30 | 0x66abb51da419bd1e7169adcf904f3a3bd5939733 | 10 Oct 08:24 | $10 | 0.49x (-51.2%) -$5.12 | |
| 29 | 0xcf2c8713144d9b640cbe589e1ae3ced297413554 | 10 Oct 07:37 | $10 | 0.50x (-50.5%) -$5.05 | |
| 28 | 0x1d778a0cb48f966358d30dba1e5714cb86a68eea | 10 Oct 02:55 | $10 | 0.50x (-50.2%) -$5.02 | |
| 27 | 0x2523ca3768a80ef68d431be431b1fc092458f9c4 | 10 Oct 02:55 | $10 | 0.46x (-54.5%) -$5.45 | |
| 26 | 0x3b7d6c1b16b08ec0cefda16fe52ab73d4bcc27fe | 10 Oct 01:54 | $10 | 0.11x (-89.2%) -$8.92 | |
| 25 | 0x9a45df2b39e2d91de05e96b79b3285d79e0d0023 | 10 Oct 01:30 | $10 | 0.49x (-51.5%) -$5.15 | |
| 24 | 0xf25c80d5152693184bdbfb7ac219034993e232ee | 10 Oct 01:18 | $10 | 0.49x (-50.6%) -$5.06 | |
| 23 | 0xe432b701d56d0be8ea947d1fdd04918876b47544 | 10 Oct 01:14 | $10 | 0.52x (-48.4%) -$4.84 | |
| 22 | 0x7e1b9e9472071f6ccb147681730ca245d3aba974 | 10 Oct 00:31 | $10 | 0.46x (-53.8%) -$5.38 | |
| 21 | 0x5fb833285a79ea3037e71f06bcd1402a8d7ac87c | 10 Oct 00:18 | $10 | 0.46x (-54.2%) -$5.42 | |
| 20 | 0x84c5e5fd860e12825951be363a7bd09ca60931fd | 09 Oct 23:34 | $10 | 0.50x (-49.8%) -$4.98 | |
| 19 | 0x6d6ea481d774569935261ba1c6d533e2b6669ed8 | 09 Oct 23:10 | $10 | 0.01x (-99.2%) -$9.92 | |
| 18 | 0xc83a8733d2bfb742647430881302b446c35515a6 | 09 Oct 22:55 | $10 | 0.38x (-61.6%) -$6.16 | |
| 17 | 0x65563c2ddb35390a8448f00b0b36994044139640 | 09 Oct 22:46 | $10 | 0.29x (-71.5%) -$7.15 | |
| 16 | 0x1223e2d5961253021281f2718d0d559d0dad29c6 | 09 Oct 22:37 | $10 | 0.48x (-52.1%) -$5.21 | |
| 15 | 0xebb7f11d7e7743a535a3e9943efcb381ad8dbee4 | 09 Oct 18:54 | $10 | 0.55x (-44.9%) -$4.49 | |
| 14 | 0x89f229f58fdf13c74091675e742ac078de909ade | 09 Oct 18:51 | $10 | 12.80x (+1179.9%) +$117.99 | |
| 13 | 0x79c499dba9e823b53286fbc5da47f3512d501918 | 09 Oct 13:44 | $10 | 0.48x (-51.6%) -$5.16 | |
| 12 | 0x1770ca7ffbc332e4fcdf08578dac3d70170b8f4f | 09 Oct 13:09 | $10 | 0.51x (-48.9%) -$4.89 | |
| 11 | 0x1488b4dd731ebd5db79efb0317aa7e7b93e22c02 | 08 Oct 22:59 | $10 | 0.48x (-51.6%) -$5.16 | |
| 10 | 0x16ef892190b94eaba7020f1a8587fcd5276d6b51 | 08 Oct 20:56 | $10 | 0.39x (-61.1%) -$6.11 | |
| 9 | 0x87e0f8b63c534b22d16e82779de425c00ebcf84d | 08 Oct 20:16 | $10 | 0.30x (-69.6%) -$6.96 | |
| 8 | 0xd002fed10b877209682658bf6ba8d81fb468745a | 08 Oct 20:07 | $10 | 0.01x (-99.3%) -$9.93 | |
| 7 | 0x07b59c1e7db8faec5ba64077a5c93abdd32cc90d | 08 Oct 20:00 | $10 | 0.01x (-99.4%) -$9.94 | |
| 6 | 0x66fa7f534fd7a4ec28df51b4ea08866493ab95a2 | 08 Oct 19:58 | $10 | 0.44x (-55.8%) -$5.58 | |
| 5 | 0xaaca111e0099d33f10bc978e439ccd5aa4167579 | 08 Oct 19:24 | $10 | 0.49x (-50.6%) -$5.06 | |
| 4 | 0x87a58fa5bc762be839c699659021ce26d1875be5 | 08 Oct 18:53 | $10 | 0.44x (-56.4%) -$5.64 | |
| 3 | 0x97105571f553c8b38507afbe13ed205c4af86e7d | 08 Oct 18:38 | $10 | 0.30x (-70.3%) -$7.03 | |
| 2 | 0x1f5fa943dba140f8d9093ed05ca6108209bdf246 | 08 Oct 18:28 | $10 | 0.50x (-50.3%) -$5.03 | |
| 1 | 0x4c4cdbc851e2c9b0cdea6039c4bc75d2fa2b3e45 | 08 Oct 16:50 | $10 | 0.22x (-77.7%) -$7.77 |
Full Test Manager report
# TOP1-MC5 forward log (a2 #527), 11 Oct 08:30 UTC Hunt: mc5 band entries (live mc5 BUYs), target tp5. No behaviour change, only logs top1 (largest buyer share of buy-ETH in first 300 s). Pools logged: 36 (36 closed); 2 not yet computable (r6weth ev ends 11 Oct 06:25 UTC). top1<0.11: 0.62 (n=36) top1>=0.11: n=0 Rule: after 60 pools pass if low >=1.3 and gap >=0.25; kill if gap <0.1. Entry-after-300s flag in trades.csv (unbuyable if 0).