V2DEC9 9-decimals kit

Analyst 1 · v2 seed-1, token reserve 1e18, buy +8 s, sell +350 s · paper, $10 a trade, since 12 Oct (reopen) · idea #503 · updated 16 Oct 07:50 Bangkok, refreshes every minute.

Not verified yet: treat these numbers as unproven

Waiting for: Reopened 12 Oct (#503, analyst2: replay 72 pairs mean 14.3x capped 7.5x; fwd n8 7 above 3x). Cron needs ops re-enable; then fwd n15 + own $5 sell round trip (exec/ops, no live). Owner testmgr2.

Still open:

Paper run, no real money

Test Manager forward test on research-box. Kill rule: mean < 2x over 30 trades, or 10 losses in a row; decide-by 16 Oct. Live only after 2 profitable days without bugs; only Ben switches.

Total P&L
+$5234.76
Trades done
15
13 up, 2 down
Best trade
108.3x
Exit rule shown
D
sell at +350 s or pull <50% max
P&L over time (US dollars, Bangkok time)

Each step is a trade with exit rule D, numbered in time order.

$0$2000$4000trade 1 at 09 Oct 21:32 0.77x -$2.30#1trade 2 at 09 Oct 22:32 108.28x +$1072.85#2trade 3 at 10 Oct 01:16 17.18x +$161.81#3trade 4 at 10 Oct 03:13 91.14x +$901.44#4trade 5 at 10 Oct 04:28 20.34x +$193.43#5trade 6 at 11 Oct 05:31 3.06x +$20.62#6trade 7 at 11 Oct 08:08 19.56x +$185.57#7trade 8 at 11 Oct 13:10 28.56x +$275.58#8trade 9 at 11 Oct 21:11 46.30x +$453.00#9trade 10 at 12 Oct 11:09 3.77x +$27.67#10trade 11 at 13 Oct 02:53 6.58x +$55.80#11trade 12 at 13 Oct 21:04 49.94x +$489.44#12trade 13 at 15 Oct 00:32 89.56x +$885.55#13trade 14 at 15 Oct 00:55 52.53x +$515.26#14trade 15 at 15 Oct 20:27 0.90x -$0.96#1509 Oct11 Oct13 Oct14 Oct16 Oct
Every trade (exit rule D)
#PoolTimeInWhy soldResult
150x1f03d6c475fd87479088b8d96387e6b24e7a904115 Oct 20:27$10time 350s · cap $3k → $3k0.90x (-9.6%)
-$0.96
140x1cf09d15f69b366b19b7334eeee83f4ca81008db15 Oct 00:55$10time 350s · cap $3k → $213k52.53x (+5152.6%)
+$515.26
130x78c916b16c183b4efa85b3f32cf7b56935f91efc15 Oct 00:32$10time 350s · cap $3k → $472k89.56x (+8855.5%)
+$885.55
120xf3c385409e4961accfd4df4292024d7021679fbf13 Oct 21:04$10time 350s · cap $3k → $211k49.94x (+4894.4%)
+$489.44
110xd8af8a656ce3b3d0883864b70042ead48d68425b13 Oct 02:53$10time 350s · cap $3k → $27k6.58x (+558.0%)
+$55.80
100x9af28b4bd6bef00903ec3214629c81c50a55a17212 Oct 11:09$10time 350s · cap $3k → $14k3.77x (+276.7%)
+$27.67
90x929400eb11ccf5caad74e475dd5cf8c82a53ca5a11 Oct 21:11$10time 350s · cap $3k → $184k46.30x (+4530.0%)
+$453.00
80x00cc6068d4be8eb88c45257f56d580b258457c2c11 Oct 13:10$10time 350s · cap $3k → $106k28.56x (+2755.8%)
+$275.58
70x42f4e0295546c04667ba6074ccb12b1f3dfac24511 Oct 08:08$10time 350s · cap $3k → $82k19.56x (+1855.7%)
+$185.57
60x6c395039786aafa7f136a17f1f483704e7c890e511 Oct 05:31$10time 350s · cap $3k → $11k3.06x (+206.2%)
+$20.62
50xe98cc1609fe167b70553684d029d4a0de0ff323310 Oct 04:28$10time 350s · cap $3k → $79k20.34x (+1934.3%)
+$193.43
40xa55dd13858eb5733b847354af85e78ebc578fbb310 Oct 03:13$10time 350s · cap $3k → $432k91.14x (+9014.4%)
+$901.44
30xe2c7db796943ecc6dfc9f3555c4644d5c135523a10 Oct 01:16$10time 350s · cap $3k → $60k17.18x (+1618.1%)
+$161.81
20xddc22be3e605c323c55c9d87ab9a961bb81bc3d809 Oct 22:32$10time 350s · cap $3k → $587k108.28x (+10728.5%)
+$1072.85
10xcf44b5fbd8f56304dfcab45cd890683a16da353509 Oct 21:32$10pull <50% max · cap $3k → $3k0.77x (-23.0%)
-$2.30
Full Test Manager report
# A1-V2DEC9 forward paper test (Test Manager) - 16 Oct 00:50 UTC

Rule (fw/a1-v2dec9.md, #196): v2 pair, factory 0x8bceaa40, seed 1.000 ETH, token reserve 1e18 raw (9-decimals kit), no sibling. Buy 0.05 ETH at first Sync >= +5 s (+3 s lag), sell all at last Sync <= +350 s (+3 s lag) or when WETH reserve < 50% of max. Constant product, 0.3% fee each side, real reserves = real price impact. A1 sim expects ~22x at 0.1 ETH (n=64, in-sample; treat as a bug until proven).
- Pairs with seed 1.000 seen: 15; closed 15; waiting 0; skipped SkipLog({'seed != 1.000': 20203, 'no sync at entry': 0})
- All: n 15, mean 35.90x (capped 10x: 7.67x), <1x 2, <0.2x 0
- On time (feed lag <= 10 s): n 15, mean 35.90x (capped 10x: 7.67x), <1x 2, <0.2x 0 | late: n 0
- Longest loss streak 1 (A1 sim max 10).
- Kill: mean < 2x over 30 trades. Not tested here: outside money (tx.from), whether our own sell is accepted by the token (v2 pairs: check by eth_call before any live), A1 saw pulls from ~400-500 s.
- Ready for live only after 2 profitable days, no bugs, enough trades; only Ben switches (D-030).