v3 birth fingerprint arm D

Analyst 2 · v3 organic born-big, trail 50% · paper, $10 a trade, since 16 Oct · idea #590 · updated 18 Oct 04:31 Bangkok, refreshes every minute.

Not verified yet: treat these numbers as unproven

Waiting for: fwd n<15; replay C 1.48x n17, D 0.68x n78, E 0.69x n79; sell proof owed

Still open:

Paper run, no real money

Test Manager forward test on research-box. Kill rule: mean <1.0x with upper80<1.05 at n>=20 fwd (pulls = 0x). Live only after 2 profitable days without bugs; only Ben switches.

Total P&L
-$90.32
Trades done
20
0 up, 20 down
Best trade
0.9x
Exit rule shown
D
same fingerprint, enter at first cap>=100k within 120 s of birth

Replay of past coins (not in the numbers above): 78 trades, mean 0.69x, -$245.79 at $10. Backtest, no forward evidence.

P&L over time (US dollars, Bangkok time)

Each step is a trade with exit rule D, numbered in time order.

-$75-$50-$25$0trade 1 at 17 Oct 01:35 0.74x -$2.61#1trade 2 at 17 Oct 02:04 0.64x -$3.65#2trade 3 at 17 Oct 02:33 0.58x -$4.23#3trade 4 at 17 Oct 03:22 0.40x -$5.98#4trade 5 at 17 Oct 03:55 0.65x -$3.51#5trade 6 at 17 Oct 06:53 0.56x -$4.44#6trade 7 at 17 Oct 07:19 0.47x -$5.33#7trade 8 at 17 Oct 07:44 0.55x -$4.51#8trade 9 at 17 Oct 18:06 0.58x -$4.19#9trade 10 at 17 Oct 19:27 0.15x -$8.49#10trade 11 at 17 Oct 19:39 0.56x -$4.43#11trade 12 at 17 Oct 19:53 0.32x -$6.83#12trade 13 at 17 Oct 21:00 0.32x -$6.82#13trade 14 at 17 Oct 21:22 0.66x -$3.45#14trade 15 at 17 Oct 21:55 0.57x -$4.27#15trade 16 at 17 Oct 22:09 0.89x -$1.07#16trade 17 at 18 Oct 00:24 0.57x -$4.25#17trade 18 at 18 Oct 01:37 0.91x -$0.94#18trade 19 at 18 Oct 03:25 0.54x -$4.56#19trade 20 at 18 Oct 04:19 0.32x -$6.76#2001:2508:1515:0521:5404:44
Every trade (exit rule D)
#PoolTimeInWhy soldResult
200x92f6d5b0d1b31b31c3aa951be91444386c44ba1f18 Oct 04:19$10trail0.32x (-67.6%)
-$6.76
190xf43a347151d2e11695f3c08cdb33220b02424d1018 Oct 03:25$10trail0.54x (-45.6%)
-$4.56
180x3eabe0ae2d11d2f87a55af1205f6dd7dbc52da1018 Oct 01:37$10trail0.91x (-9.4%)
-$0.94
170xd5e1e2a00a5f3084e06d601348438c435731715618 Oct 00:24$10trail0.57x (-42.5%)
-$4.25
160x68864fa6909f1062b7a117712249031b280d713117 Oct 22:09$10trail0.89x (-10.7%)
-$1.07
150x189814abfbd0f6bd6e6b6b9cebed7162ecb1bfe617 Oct 21:55$10trail0.57x (-42.7%)
-$4.27
140x621a49229ecd0e5e8beb0ae72a1e40f4b3840c9017 Oct 21:22$10trail0.66x (-34.5%)
-$3.45
130x3c954cfe26b92caa930ff67f12998ff3f10de21b17 Oct 21:00$10trail0.32x (-68.2%)
-$6.82
120xc14b100f44eaae0f1f78e11696ee75a20ee6334d17 Oct 19:53$10trail0.32x (-68.3%)
-$6.83
110x07c91961377d31de2c72c799b7caa8d6cd52d38017 Oct 19:39$10trail0.56x (-44.3%)
-$4.43
100x076f1f924c0147d139709049dbbbefbc19a0506817 Oct 19:27$10trail0.15x (-84.9%)
-$8.49
90xe6d21d28e519d9a79e59a273fafd28f9cfe1cb3c17 Oct 18:06$10trail0.58x (-41.9%)
-$4.19
80x50fbe9ef185b80005b1e9501b6ad41ed4746ce5817 Oct 07:44$10trail0.55x (-45.1%)
-$4.51
70x4d7e5fa7615202674780ceb4d4b0733c1cee1d8317 Oct 07:19$10trail0.47x (-53.3%)
-$5.33
60xaba6be9d2657d1d81191f5a2798cb20bee82f6fe17 Oct 06:53$10trail0.56x (-44.4%)
-$4.44
50xb766f13aac99589cd705f879603fa6082be2d52017 Oct 03:55$10trail0.65x (-35.1%)
-$3.51
40x9664048ab6edfb0d3b1e8bbcce1338d06e4c562b17 Oct 03:22$10trail0.40x (-59.8%)
-$5.98
30x71423da3f5038ca8b81e7609546306964ef8bb8417 Oct 02:33$10trail0.58x (-42.3%)
-$4.23
20x566ecd3a2ce18e92af34bd5c905a05b5ae65f4a417 Oct 02:04$10trail0.64x (-36.5%)
-$3.65
10x116b18cabde1fc2f91c268422c12ed33aa2d4eac17 Oct 01:35$10trail0.74x (-26.1%)
-$2.61
Full Test Manager report
# v3birth paper (testmgr3) 17 Oct 21:31 UTC
C #605 / D #590 / E #583, rule in script header. Open legs 0.
- C: n 17, mean 1.48x, median 0.59x, win 2, pull 3, time 0
- D: n 98, mean 0.66x, median 0.59x, win 7, pull 4, time 1
- E: n 99, mean 0.66x, median 0.59x, win 7, pull 4, time 1