v3 cap-continuation 1.5-3M ultrawide stop .4 trail 60%

Testmgr3 · miss family (capc variant) · paper, $10 a trade, since 21 Oct · idea #734 · updated 23 Oct 03:23 Bangkok, refreshes every minute.

Not verified yet: treat these numbers as unproven

Waiting for: fwd n>=20; replay honest; decide by 25 Oct

Still open:

Paper run, no real money

Test Manager forward test on research-box. Kill rule: mean<1.0x with upper80<1.05 at fwd n>=20; decide by 25 Oct. Live only after 2 profitable days without bugs; only Ben switches.

Total P&L
-$5.63
Trades done
1
0 up, 1 down
Best trade
0.4x
Exit rule shown
H
cross 1.5-3M, +15s entry, stop .4, trail 60% of peak, hunt 3M+

Replay of past coins (not in the numbers above): 97 trades, mean 1.23x, +$220.91 at $10. Backtest, no forward evidence.

P&L over time (US dollars, Bangkok time)

Each step is a trade with exit rule H, numbered in time order.

$0trade 1 at 22 Oct 05:24 0.44x -$5.63#105:1410:4916:2421:5903:34
Every trade (exit rule H)
#PoolTimeInWhy soldResult
10xad7ff23810f149d0900987f2b74790ee6723cda622 Oct 05:24$10trail0.44x (-56.3%)
-$5.63
Full Test Manager report
# v3capb1 paper (testmgr) 22 Oct 20:23 UTC
H 1.5-3M stop .4 trail 60% of peak hunt 3M+. Open legs 0.
- H: n 98, mean 1.22x, median 0.57x, win 17, pull 2, time 16