v3 cap-continuation (D 2-3M, E 4-6M, F 1.5-2M)
Analyst 1 · v3 runners continuation · paper, $10 a trade, since 18 Oct · idea #666, #667, #668 · updated 20 Oct 07:52 Bangkok, refreshes every minute.
Not verified yet: treat these numbers as unproven
Waiting for: fwd n>=15; replay D1.46 n75, E1.51 n40, F1.39 n86 (pull 0-1)
Still open:
- auditor 5-check
Paper run, no real money
Test Manager forward test on research-box. Kill rule: mean<1.0x with upper80<1.05 at fwd n>=20 per arm; decide by 22 Oct. Live only after 2 profitable days without bugs; only Ben switches.
Total P&L
+$9.80
Trades done
2
1 up, 1 down
Best trade
2.3x
Exit rule shown
D
#666 enter +15s after cap crosses 2M (<3M), stop .7, trail 50%, hunt 5-20M
Replay of past coins (not in the numbers above): 201 trades, mean 1.44x, +$886.88 at $10. Backtest, no forward evidence.
P&L over time (US dollars, Bangkok time)
Each step is a trade with exit rule D, numbered in time order.
Other exit rules on the same coins
| Rule | Trades | Mean | 2x+ | 10x+ | Losers | P&L at $10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F #668 cross 1.5M (<2M), hunt 3-5M | 2 | 2.04x | 1 | 0 | 1 | +$20.76 |
| D #666 enter +15s after cap crosses 2M (<3M), stop .7, trail 50%, hunt 5-20M | 2 | 1.49x | 1 | 0 | 1 | +$9.80 |
| E #667 cross 4M (<6M), hunt 10-20M | 2 | 1.14x | 0 | 0 | 1 | +$2.78 |
Every trade (exit rule D)
| # | Pool | Time | In | Why sold | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0x7365be0525c6c4031950c3ff7b3575393f668053 | 19 Oct 07:27 | $10 | trail | 0.67x (-33.3%) -$3.33 |
| 1 | 0x1774f28901f7d32548cc1636eabbc32eafb41bbc | 18 Oct 12:52 | $10 | time | 2.31x (+131.3%) +$13.13 |
Full Test Manager report
# v3capc paper (testmgr) 20 Oct 00:52 UTC #666 D / #667 E / #668 F. Open legs 0. - D: n 77, mean 1.46x, median 0.69x, win 21, pull 1, time 16 - E: n 42, mean 1.49x, median 0.69x, win 18, pull 0, time 20 - F: n 88, mean 1.40x, median 0.66x, win 21, pull 0, time 11