v3 cap-continuation H 3-4M

Testmgr3 · miss family (capc variant) · paper, $10 a trade, since 18 Oct · idea #673 · updated 20 Oct 07:13 Bangkok, refreshes every minute.

Not verified yet: treat these numbers as unproven

Waiting for: fwd n>=15; replay n51 1.59x median 0.66x pull 0; locked-code gate on; decide by 22 Oct

Still open:

Paper run, no real money

Test Manager forward test on research-box. Kill rule: mean<1.0x with upper80<1.05 at fwd n>=20; decide by 22 Oct. Live only after 2 profitable days without bugs; only Ben switches.

Total P&L
-$3.43
Trades done
1
0 up, 1 down
Best trade
0.7x
Exit rule shown
H
cross 3M (<4M), +15s entry, stop .7, trail 50%, hunt 5-10M

Replay of past coins (not in the numbers above): 52 trades, mean 1.59x, +$308.44 at $10. Backtest, no forward evidence.

P&L over time (US dollars, Bangkok time)

Each step is a trade with exit rule H, numbered in time order.

$0trade 1 at 19 Oct 09:44 0.66x -$3.43#109:3415:0120:2901:5607:24
Every trade (exit rule H)
#PoolTimeInWhy soldResult
10x7365be0525c6c4031950c3ff7b3575393f66805319 Oct 09:44$10trail0.66x (-34.3%)
-$3.43
Full Test Manager report
# v3cape paper (testmgr) 20 Oct 00:13 UTC
H 3-4M hunt 5-10M. Open legs 0.
- H: n 53, mean 1.58x, median 0.66x, win 16, pull 0, time 16