v3 cap-continuation 1.0-1.5M
Testmgr3 · miss family (capc variant) · paper, $10 a trade, since 19 Oct · idea #675 · updated 21 Oct 07:13 Bangkok, refreshes every minute.
Not verified yet: treat these numbers as unproven
Waiting for: fwd n>=15; replay n123 1.11x median 0.65x pull 1; locked-code gate on; decide by 23 Oct
Still open:
- auditor 5-check
Paper run, no real money
Test Manager forward test on research-box. Kill rule: mean<1.0x with upper80<1.05 at fwd n>=20; decide by 23 Oct. Live only after 2 profitable days without bugs; only Ben switches.
Total P&L
-$3.71
Trades done
1
0 up, 1 down
Best trade
0.6x
Exit rule shown
H
cross 1.0-1.5M, +15s entry, stop .7, trail 50%, hunt 3-5M
Replay of past coins (not in the numbers above): 125 trades, mean 1.10x, +$130.91 at $10. Backtest, no forward evidence.
P&L over time (US dollars, Bangkok time)
Each step is a trade with exit rule H, numbered in time order.
Every trade (exit rule H)
| # | Pool | Time | In | Why sold | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0xacb29aa89d89091f522bb32b6a6fc8ceacfa57ee | 21 Oct 01:19 | $10 | trail | 0.63x (-37.1%) -$3.71 |
Full Test Manager report
# v3capf paper (testmgr) 21 Oct 00:13 UTC H 1.0-1.5M hunt 3-5M. Open legs 1. - H: n 126, mean 1.10x, median 0.65x, win 16, pull 1, time 12