v3 cap-continuation 60-150k

Testmgr3 · miss family (capc variant) · paper, $10 a trade, since 20 Oct · idea #700 · updated 21 Oct 07:32 Bangkok, refreshes every minute.

Not verified yet: treat these numbers as unproven

Waiting for: fwd n>=20; honest replay (no look-ahead) n525 0.95x med 0.64x; locked-code gate on; decide by 24 Oct

Still open:

Paper run, no real money

Test Manager forward test on research-box. Kill rule: mean<1.0x with upper80<1.05 at fwd n>=20; decide by 24 Oct. Live only after 2 profitable days without bugs; only Ben switches.

Total P&L
-$97.63
Trades done
20
4 up, 16 down
Best trade
2.6x
Exit rule shown
H
cross 60-150k, +15s entry, stop .7, trail 50% of peak, hunt 1M+

Replay of past coins (not in the numbers above): 525 trades, mean 0.95x, -$253.73 at $10. Backtest, no forward evidence.

P&L over time (US dollars, Bangkok time)

Each step is a trade with exit rule H, numbered in time order.

-$100-$75-$50-$25$0trade 1 at 20 Oct 12:03 0.64x -$3.64#1trade 2 at 20 Oct 13:11 0.00x -$10.00#2trade 3 at 20 Oct 13:29 0.00x -$10.00#3trade 4 at 20 Oct 14:06 0.00x -$10.00#4trade 5 at 20 Oct 16:10 0.00x -$10.00#5trade 6 at 20 Oct 16:29 2.57x +$15.68#6trade 7 at 20 Oct 18:27 1.07x +$0.66#7trade 8 at 20 Oct 18:35 0.63x -$3.66#8trade 9 at 20 Oct 20:38 1.21x +$2.06#9trade 10 at 20 Oct 21:42 0.33x -$6.70#10trade 11 at 20 Oct 21:45 0.00x -$10.00#11trade 12 at 20 Oct 22:19 0.00x -$10.00#12trade 13 at 20 Oct 22:35 1.81x +$8.13#13trade 14 at 21 Oct 00:13 0.68x -$3.23#14trade 15 at 21 Oct 03:05 0.00x -$10.00#15trade 16 at 21 Oct 04:37 0.00x -$10.00#16trade 17 at 21 Oct 06:41 0.65x -$3.52#17trade 18 at 21 Oct 06:43 0.00x -$10.00#18trade 19 at 21 Oct 06:47 0.66x -$3.41#19trade 20 at 21 Oct 07:01 0.00x -$10.00#2011:5316:5121:4802:4607:44
Every trade (exit rule H)
#PoolTimeInWhy soldResult
200x015b46ed58c05a5754da8ef8fd19fedda174190521 Oct 07:01$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
190x0d6d75169f96142a32a5abe54f1f6b13355a240221 Oct 06:47$10trail0.66x (-34.1%)
-$3.41
180x166ab1b09560a172c9982004ae9eb8dad500fced21 Oct 06:43$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
170x7c7da2289129f4318355e4c3c9daf8d7c4d0a0c821 Oct 06:41$10trail0.65x (-35.2%)
-$3.52
160x5e9afc0c609702034c11ced5cd77730f2c1c4a5521 Oct 04:37$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
150xb323bcc2fa6e3caf8f600d41aa3290fa6f89e1e121 Oct 03:05$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
140x756860e1abab7cd15847c9c643354b9322389cdd21 Oct 00:13$10trail0.68x (-32.3%)
-$3.23
130x230934a337e8c27220ad094963590b807712701a20 Oct 22:35$10trail1.81x (+81.3%)
+$8.13
120x0eb5adf726ca4b7ecc3e5ac254ca56a85d1955a320 Oct 22:19$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
110xfeec49fa2e15da73d2b0382ee6aa77e58864b58920 Oct 21:45$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
100x323c591c3b9faa00d58d4568d0b9334e2b22175f20 Oct 21:42$10trail0.33x (-67.0%)
-$6.70
90x0e2521121dede0064f9439ccb026175c62d814a720 Oct 20:38$10trail1.21x (+20.6%)
+$2.06
80x1ce3798c23927a5e99e0ec9166ec68b5e59002d120 Oct 18:35$10trail0.63x (-36.6%)
-$3.66
70x7c06e52a1c1f5713c1c39a30530536c591174fff20 Oct 18:27$10trail1.07x (+6.6%)
+$0.66
60x6a723aa4637eb685fd5759a7b5eb3e296f30e75520 Oct 16:29$10trail2.57x (+156.8%)
+$15.68
50x279f3f6fd11ce8ccda58d6b958da431fc6f37c0720 Oct 16:10$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
40xeff06e114a2b8f72139596bc619cf97c737a95db20 Oct 14:06$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
30xe2aa4422b66a2cfba02ed6983eb8aedbd798ffb620 Oct 13:29$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
20xe7538d00f22f88b4d1cbc47e46374f6c15fcd1b720 Oct 13:11$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
10x9e7b0126c5c0c0fdb92423f2a9bfc5ae1d8e8e3420 Oct 12:03$10trail0.64x (-36.4%)
-$3.64
Full Test Manager report
# v3capp paper (testmgr) 21 Oct 00:32 UTC
H 60-150k hunt 1M+. Open legs 2.
- H: n 545, mean 0.94x, median 0.64x, win 164, pull 215, time 6