v3 cap-continuation 60-150k wide trail 35%

Testmgr3 · miss family (capc variant) · paper, $10 a trade, since 20 Oct · idea #708 · updated 21 Oct 11:32 Bangkok, refreshes every minute.

Not verified yet: treat these numbers as unproven

Waiting for: fwd n>=20; replay (no look-ahead) n530 0.81x med 0.62x; locked-code gate on; decide by 24 Oct

Still open:

Paper run, no real money

Test Manager forward test on research-box. Kill rule: mean<1.0x with upper80<1.05 at fwd n>=20; decide by 24 Oct. Live only after 2 profitable days without bugs; only Ben switches.

Total P&L
+$214.01
Trades done
20
4 up, 16 down
Best trade
28.2x
Exit rule shown
H
cross 60-150k, +15s entry, stop .7, trail 35% of peak, hunt 3M+

Replay of past coins (not in the numbers above): 531 trades, mean 0.81x, -$991.84 at $10. Backtest, no forward evidence.

P&L over time (US dollars, Bangkok time)

Each step is a trade with exit rule H, numbered in time order.

$0$100$200trade 1 at 20 Oct 18:27 3.16x +$21.64#1trade 2 at 20 Oct 18:35 0.63x -$3.66#2trade 3 at 20 Oct 20:38 0.89x -$1.14#3trade 4 at 20 Oct 21:42 0.33x -$6.70#4trade 5 at 20 Oct 21:45 0.00x -$10.00#5trade 6 at 20 Oct 22:19 0.00x -$10.00#6trade 7 at 20 Oct 22:35 1.27x +$2.66#7trade 8 at 21 Oct 00:13 0.98x -$0.22#8trade 9 at 21 Oct 01:36 28.24x +$272.39#9trade 10 at 21 Oct 03:05 0.00x -$10.00#10trade 11 at 21 Oct 04:37 0.00x -$10.00#11trade 12 at 21 Oct 06:41 0.65x -$3.52#12trade 13 at 21 Oct 06:43 0.00x -$10.00#13trade 14 at 21 Oct 06:47 0.66x -$3.41#14trade 15 at 21 Oct 07:01 0.00x -$10.00#15trade 16 at 21 Oct 07:04 0.65x -$3.47#16trade 17 at 21 Oct 07:57 2.65x +$16.48#17trade 18 at 21 Oct 08:41 0.65x -$3.54#18trade 19 at 21 Oct 08:58 0.00x -$10.00#19trade 20 at 21 Oct 10:53 0.65x -$3.50#2018:1722:3702:5807:1811:39
Every trade (exit rule H)
#PoolTimeInWhy soldResult
200x5e2f7b0c94c972401b6ef5382ac355a70a26122321 Oct 10:53$10trail0.65x (-35.0%)
-$3.50
190xc1b48f0840dd7ca3acefcee6cdf6d70d8882bd7d21 Oct 08:58$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
180x24f011f45cd125f61a3bc3d58b8527b317f9d13021 Oct 08:41$10trail0.65x (-35.4%)
-$3.54
170xe9d0f67a79a952ff7928c3940a88b5289101dafe21 Oct 07:57$10trail2.65x (+164.8%)
+$16.48
160xa540ff88ece3957a5afc98b1cf9646345fbe716321 Oct 07:04$10trail0.65x (-34.7%)
-$3.47
150x015b46ed58c05a5754da8ef8fd19fedda174190521 Oct 07:01$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
140x0d6d75169f96142a32a5abe54f1f6b13355a240221 Oct 06:47$10trail0.66x (-34.1%)
-$3.41
130x166ab1b09560a172c9982004ae9eb8dad500fced21 Oct 06:43$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
120x7c7da2289129f4318355e4c3c9daf8d7c4d0a0c821 Oct 06:41$10trail0.65x (-35.2%)
-$3.52
110x5e9afc0c609702034c11ced5cd77730f2c1c4a5521 Oct 04:37$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
100xb323bcc2fa6e3caf8f600d41aa3290fa6f89e1e121 Oct 03:05$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
90x55e0a094ca5d911bcddaea0d4d2751aca668cb8321 Oct 01:36$10time28.24x (+2723.9%)
+$272.39
80x756860e1abab7cd15847c9c643354b9322389cdd21 Oct 00:13$10trail0.98x (-2.2%)
-$0.22
70x230934a337e8c27220ad094963590b807712701a20 Oct 22:35$10trail1.27x (+26.6%)
+$2.66
60x0eb5adf726ca4b7ecc3e5ac254ca56a85d1955a320 Oct 22:19$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
50xfeec49fa2e15da73d2b0382ee6aa77e58864b58920 Oct 21:45$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
40x323c591c3b9faa00d58d4568d0b9334e2b22175f20 Oct 21:42$10trail0.33x (-67.0%)
-$6.70
30x0e2521121dede0064f9439ccb026175c62d814a720 Oct 20:38$10trail0.89x (-11.4%)
-$1.14
20x1ce3798c23927a5e99e0ec9166ec68b5e59002d120 Oct 18:35$10trail0.63x (-36.6%)
-$3.66
10x7c06e52a1c1f5713c1c39a30530536c591174fff20 Oct 18:27$10trail3.16x (+216.4%)
+$21.64
Full Test Manager report
# v3capt paper (testmgr) 21 Oct 04:32 UTC
H 60-150k WIDE trail 35% hunt 3M+. Open legs 0.
- H: n 551, mean 0.86x, median 0.62x, win 133, pull 237, time 9