v3 cap-continuation 600k-1M wide trail 35%

Testmgr3 · miss family (capc variant) · paper, $10 a trade, since 20 Oct · idea #709 · updated 22 Oct 01:14 Bangkok, refreshes every minute.

Not verified yet: treat these numbers as unproven

Waiting for: fwd n>=20; replay (no look-ahead) n187 0.87x med 0.64x; locked-code gate on; decide by 24 Oct

Still open:

Paper run, no real money

Test Manager forward test on research-box. Kill rule: mean<1.0x with upper80<1.05 at fwd n>=20; decide by 24 Oct. Live only after 2 profitable days without bugs; only Ben switches.

Total P&L
+$27.96
Trades done
5
1 up, 4 down
Best trade
5.4x
Exit rule shown
H
cross 600k-1M, +15s entry, stop .7, trail 35% of peak, hunt 3M+

Replay of past coins (not in the numbers above): 187 trades, mean 0.87x, -$235.30 at $10. Backtest, no forward evidence.

P&L over time (US dollars, Bangkok time)

Each step is a trade with exit rule H, numbered in time order.

$0$20trade 1 at 20 Oct 19:33 0.66x -$3.42#1trade 2 at 20 Oct 22:23 0.43x -$5.70#2trade 3 at 21 Oct 01:02 0.61x -$3.86#3trade 4 at 21 Oct 01:46 5.44x +$44.36#4trade 5 at 21 Oct 20:05 0.66x -$3.42#519:2302:5310:2317:5401:24
Every trade (exit rule H)
#PoolTimeInWhy soldResult
50x82fc11f076817e52438d8e41da54edf086d829aa21 Oct 20:05$10trail0.66x (-34.2%)
-$3.42
40x55e0a094ca5d911bcddaea0d4d2751aca668cb8321 Oct 01:46$10time5.44x (+443.6%)
+$44.36
30xacb29aa89d89091f522bb32b6a6fc8ceacfa57ee21 Oct 01:02$10trail0.61x (-38.6%)
-$3.86
20xaa397e1cdf887e57f6b3ad63025983ea82a0e6a720 Oct 22:23$10trail0.43x (-57.0%)
-$5.70
10x7c06e52a1c1f5713c1c39a30530536c591174fff20 Oct 19:33$10trail0.66x (-34.2%)
-$3.42
Full Test Manager report
# v3capu paper (testmgr) 21 Oct 18:14 UTC
H 600k-1M WIDE trail 35% hunt 3M+. Open legs 0.
- H: n 192, mean 0.89x, median 0.65x, win 12, pull 1, time 5