v3 cap-continuation 1-1.5M wide trail 35%
Testmgr3 · miss family (capc variant) · paper, $10 a trade, since 21 Oct · idea #720 · updated 23 Oct 03:23 Bangkok, refreshes every minute.
Not verified yet: treat these numbers as unproven
Waiting for: fwd n>=20; replay n126 1.06x med .65x; locked-code gate on; decide by 25 Oct
Still open:
- auditor 5-check
Paper run, no real money
Test Manager forward test on research-box. Kill rule: mean<1.0x with upper80<1.05 at fwd n>=20; decide by 25 Oct. Live only after 2 profitable days without bugs; only Ben switches.
Total P&L
-$10.54
Trades done
3
0 up, 3 down
Best trade
0.7x
Exit rule shown
H
cross 1-1.5M, +15s entry, stop .7, trail 35% of peak, hunt 3M+
Replay of past coins (not in the numbers above): 127 trades, mean 1.08x, +$98.06 at $10. Backtest, no forward evidence.
P&L over time (US dollars, Bangkok time)
Each step is a trade with exit rule H, numbered in time order.
Every trade (exit rule H)
| # | Pool | Time | In | Why sold | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0x8dbebbf1e65d9d185d9fdfac59c155b5c6d84964 | 23 Oct 01:32 | $10 | trail | 0.65x (-34.6%) -$3.46 |
| 2 | 0x775b9201eae9512a7626818e5b8775d072b9832f | 22 Oct 15:19 | $10 | trail | 0.63x (-36.7%) -$3.67 |
| 1 | 0xad7ff23810f149d0900987f2b74790ee6723cda6 | 22 Oct 05:07 | $10 | trail | 0.66x (-34.1%) -$3.41 |
Full Test Manager report
# v3capv paper (testmgr) 22 Oct 20:23 UTC H 1-1.5M WIDE trail 35% hunt 3M+. Open legs 0. - H: n 130, mean 1.07x, median 0.65x, win 13, pull 1, time 13