v3 cap-continuation 1.5-3M ultrawide stop .5 trail 70%
Testmgr3 · miss family (capc variant) · paper, $10 a trade, since 21 Oct · idea #730 · updated 23 Oct 03:23 Bangkok, refreshes every minute.
Not verified yet: treat these numbers as unproven
Waiting for: fwd n>=20; replay n97 1.36x (no look-ahead); decide by 25 Oct
Still open:
- auditor 5-check
Paper run, no real money
Test Manager forward test on research-box. Kill rule: mean<1.0x with upper80<1.05 at fwd n>=20; decide by 25 Oct. Live only after 2 profitable days without bugs; only Ben switches.
Total P&L
-$5.32
Trades done
1
0 up, 1 down
Best trade
0.5x
Exit rule shown
H
cross 1.5-3M, +15s entry, stop .5, trail 70% of peak, hunt 5-20M
Replay of past coins (not in the numbers above): 97 trades, mean 1.36x, +$345.08 at $10. Backtest, no forward evidence.
P&L over time (US dollars, Bangkok time)
Each step is a trade with exit rule H, numbered in time order.
Every trade (exit rule H)
| # | Pool | Time | In | Why sold | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0xad7ff23810f149d0900987f2b74790ee6723cda6 | 22 Oct 05:24 | $10 | trail | 0.47x (-53.2%) -$5.32 |
Full Test Manager report
# v3capy paper (testmgr) 22 Oct 20:23 UTC H 1.5-3M stop .5 trail 70% of peak hunt 3M+. Open legs 0. - H: n 98, mean 1.35x, median 0.47x, win 17, pull 2, time 19