v3 cap-continuation 300-600k ultrawide stop .5 trail 70%
Testmgr3 · miss family (capc variant) · paper, $10 a trade, since 21 Oct · idea #731 · updated 23 Oct 03:23 Bangkok, refreshes every minute.
Not verified yet: treat these numbers as unproven
Waiting for: fwd n>=20; replay n235 1.26x (no look-ahead); decide by 25 Oct
Still open:
- auditor 5-check
Paper run, no real money
Test Manager forward test on research-box. Kill rule: mean<1.0x with upper80<1.05 at fwd n>=20; decide by 25 Oct. Live only after 2 profitable days without bugs; only Ben switches.
Total P&L
-$7.57
Trades done
7
2 up, 5 down
Best trade
1.8x
Exit rule shown
H
cross 300-600k, +15s entry, stop .5, trail 70% of peak, hunt 3M+
Replay of past coins (not in the numbers above): 235 trades, mean 1.26x, +$600.77 at $10. Backtest, no forward evidence.
P&L over time (US dollars, Bangkok time)
Each step is a trade with exit rule H, numbered in time order.
Every trade (exit rule H)
| # | Pool | Time | In | Why sold | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0xaa9844f592dfab4cdc8ad96c0fbfd0137fae00b8 | 22 Oct 20:17 | $10 | time | 1.78x (+78.3%) +$7.83 |
| 6 | 0x241919430981ae65d036a3fad4d207ba9c192ccc | 22 Oct 16:02 | $10 | trail | 0.46x (-53.8%) -$5.38 |
| 5 | 0x775b9201eae9512a7626818e5b8775d072b9832f | 22 Oct 11:28 | $10 | trail | 0.48x (-52.3%) -$5.23 |
| 4 | 0x815d01214fb1aebcf58254d47ddb8d6cfa201a1b | 22 Oct 05:13 | $10 | trail | 0.34x (-66.5%) -$6.65 |
| 3 | 0xad7ff23810f149d0900987f2b74790ee6723cda6 | 22 Oct 04:49 | $10 | trail | 1.56x (+56.5%) +$5.65 |
| 2 | 0x82fc11f076817e52438d8e41da54edf086d829aa | 21 Oct 19:17 | $10 | trail | 0.81x (-18.7%) -$1.87 |
| 1 | 0x9cf6cdfd1c414bdc14594a67c7ca3eda8b1ea568 | 21 Oct 18:09 | $10 | time | 0.81x (-19.2%) -$1.92 |
Full Test Manager report
# v3capz paper (testmgr) 22 Oct 20:23 UTC H 300-600k stop .5 trail 70% of peak hunt 3M+. Open legs 1. - H: n 242, mean 1.25x, median 0.47x, win 31, pull 8, time 15