v3 cap-continuation 300-600k WIDE exit

Testmgr4 · miss family (capc variant) · paper, $10 a trade, since 20 Oct · idea #704 · updated 23 Oct 03:23 Bangkok, refreshes every minute.

Not verified yet: treat these numbers as unproven

Waiting for: fwd n>=15; replay in trades.csv src col; locked-code gate on

Still open:

Paper run, no real money

Test Manager forward test on research-box. Kill rule: mean<1.0x with upper80<1.05 at fwd n>=20; decide by 24 Oct. Live only after 2 profitable days without bugs; only Ben switches.

Total P&L
+$91.03
Trades done
11
3 up, 8 down
Best trade
12.4x
Exit rule shown
H
cross 300-600k, +15s entry, stop .5, exit at 30% of peak (wide)

Replay of past coins (not in the numbers above): 231 trades, mean 1.22x, +$502.17 at $10. Backtest, no forward evidence.

P&L over time (US dollars, Bangkok time)

Each step is a trade with exit rule H, numbered in time order.

$0$50$100trade 1 at 20 Oct 16:52 0.47x -$5.31#1trade 2 at 20 Oct 19:18 0.56x -$4.38#2trade 3 at 21 Oct 01:37 12.36x +$113.59#3trade 4 at 21 Oct 08:18 0.47x -$5.30#4trade 5 at 21 Oct 18:09 0.81x -$1.92#5trade 6 at 21 Oct 19:17 0.81x -$1.87#6trade 7 at 22 Oct 04:49 1.56x +$5.65#7trade 8 at 22 Oct 05:13 0.34x -$6.65#8trade 9 at 22 Oct 11:28 0.48x -$5.23#9trade 10 at 22 Oct 16:02 0.46x -$5.38#10trade 11 at 22 Oct 20:17 1.78x +$7.83#1120 Oct21 Oct21 Oct22 Oct23 Oct
Every trade (exit rule H)
#PoolTimeInWhy soldResult
110xaa9844f592dfab4cdc8ad96c0fbfd0137fae00b822 Oct 20:17$10time1.78x (+78.3%)
+$7.83
100x241919430981ae65d036a3fad4d207ba9c192ccc22 Oct 16:02$10trail0.46x (-53.8%)
-$5.38
90x775b9201eae9512a7626818e5b8775d072b9832f22 Oct 11:28$10trail0.48x (-52.3%)
-$5.23
80x815d01214fb1aebcf58254d47ddb8d6cfa201a1b22 Oct 05:13$10trail0.34x (-66.5%)
-$6.65
70xad7ff23810f149d0900987f2b74790ee6723cda622 Oct 04:49$10trail1.56x (+56.5%)
+$5.65
60x82fc11f076817e52438d8e41da54edf086d829aa21 Oct 19:17$10trail0.81x (-18.7%)
-$1.87
50x9cf6cdfd1c414bdc14594a67c7ca3eda8b1ea56821 Oct 18:09$10time0.81x (-19.2%)
-$1.92
40xe9d0f67a79a952ff7928c3940a88b5289101dafe21 Oct 08:18$10trail0.47x (-53.0%)
-$5.30
30x55e0a094ca5d911bcddaea0d4d2751aca668cb8321 Oct 01:37$10time12.36x (+1135.9%)
+$113.59
20x7c06e52a1c1f5713c1c39a30530536c591174fff20 Oct 19:18$10trail0.56x (-43.8%)
-$4.38
10x6a723aa4637eb685fd5759a7b5eb3e296f30e75520 Oct 16:52$10trail0.47x (-53.1%)
-$5.31
Full Test Manager report
# v3cnw paper (testmgr4) 22 Oct 20:23 UTC
300-600k WIDE exit (stop .5, trail 70% from peak) hunt 1-3M. Open legs 1.
- H: n 242, mean 1.25x, median 0.47x, win 31, pull 8, time 15