v3 cap-continuation 300-600k FRESH

Testmgr4 · miss family (capc variant) · paper, $10 a trade, since 20 Oct · idea #705 · updated 23 Oct 03:23 Bangkok, refreshes every minute.

Not verified yet: treat these numbers as unproven

Waiting for: fwd n>=15; replay in trades.csv src col; locked-code gate on

Still open:

Paper run, no real money

Test Manager forward test on research-box. Kill rule: mean<1.0x with upper80<1.05 at fwd n>=20; decide by 24 Oct. Live only after 2 profitable days without bugs; only Ben switches.

Total P&L
+$96.42
Trades done
12
3 up, 9 down
Best trade
12.4x
Exit rule shown
H
cross 300-600k, pool age<=180m, stop .7 trail 50%

Replay of past coins (not in the numbers above): 225 trades, mean 0.84x, -$351.51 at $10. Backtest, no forward evidence.

P&L over time (US dollars, Bangkok time)

Each step is a trade with exit rule H, numbered in time order.

$0$50$100trade 1 at 20 Oct 16:52 0.61x -$3.85#1trade 2 at 20 Oct 19:18 0.99x -$0.08#2trade 3 at 21 Oct 01:37 12.36x +$113.59#3trade 4 at 21 Oct 08:18 0.72x -$2.76#4trade 5 at 21 Oct 18:09 0.65x -$3.48#5trade 6 at 21 Oct 19:17 1.27x +$2.72#6trade 7 at 22 Oct 04:49 1.95x +$9.52#7trade 8 at 22 Oct 05:13 0.34x -$6.65#8trade 9 at 22 Oct 11:28 0.76x -$2.37#9trade 10 at 22 Oct 16:02 0.61x -$3.85#10trade 11 at 22 Oct 20:17 0.71x -$2.92#11trade 12 at 22 Oct 23:59 0.66x -$3.45#1220 Oct21 Oct21 Oct22 Oct23 Oct
Every trade (exit rule H)
#PoolTimeInWhy soldResult
120x8dbebbf1e65d9d185d9fdfac59c155b5c6d8496422 Oct 23:59$10trail0.66x (-34.5%)
-$3.45
110xaa9844f592dfab4cdc8ad96c0fbfd0137fae00b822 Oct 20:17$10trail0.71x (-29.2%)
-$2.92
100x241919430981ae65d036a3fad4d207ba9c192ccc22 Oct 16:02$10trail0.61x (-38.5%)
-$3.85
90x775b9201eae9512a7626818e5b8775d072b9832f22 Oct 11:28$10trail0.76x (-23.7%)
-$2.37
80x815d01214fb1aebcf58254d47ddb8d6cfa201a1b22 Oct 05:13$10trail0.34x (-66.5%)
-$6.65
70xad7ff23810f149d0900987f2b74790ee6723cda622 Oct 04:49$10trail1.95x (+95.2%)
+$9.52
60x82fc11f076817e52438d8e41da54edf086d829aa21 Oct 19:17$10trail1.27x (+27.2%)
+$2.72
50x9cf6cdfd1c414bdc14594a67c7ca3eda8b1ea56821 Oct 18:09$10trail0.65x (-34.8%)
-$3.48
40xe9d0f67a79a952ff7928c3940a88b5289101dafe21 Oct 08:18$10trail0.72x (-27.6%)
-$2.76
30x55e0a094ca5d911bcddaea0d4d2751aca668cb8321 Oct 01:37$10time12.36x (+1135.9%)
+$113.59
20x7c06e52a1c1f5713c1c39a30530536c591174fff20 Oct 19:18$10trail0.99x (-0.8%)
-$0.08
10x6a723aa4637eb685fd5759a7b5eb3e296f30e75520 Oct 16:52$10trail0.61x (-38.5%)
-$3.85
Full Test Manager report
# v3cny paper (testmgr4) 22 Oct 20:23 UTC
300-600k FRESH only (pool age<=180 min) hunt 1-3M. Open legs 0.
- H: n 237, mean 0.89x, median 0.66x, win 42, pull 5, time 3