V3CW whale-led crowd

miss idea #658 · paper, $10 a trade, since 18 Oct · idea #658 · updated 21 Oct 18:24 Bangkok, refreshes every minute.

Not verified yet: treat these numbers as unproven

Waiting for: forward sample n>=20; testmgr4

Still open:

Paper run, no real money

Test Manager forward test on research-box. Kill rule: n>=20 mean<1.0 and upper80<1.05. Live only after 2 profitable days without bugs; only Ben switches.

Total P&L
-$15.32
Trades done
26
10 up, 16 down
Best trade
3.5x
Exit rule shown
W

Replay of past coins (not in the numbers above): 29 trades, mean 1.20x, +$58.28 at $10. Backtest, no forward evidence.

P&L over time (US dollars, Bangkok time)

Each step is a trade with exit rule W, numbered in time order.

-$20$0$20trade 1 at 17 Oct 22:09 1.06x +$0.58trade 2 at 17 Oct 23:25 0.92x -$0.80trade 3 at 18 Oct 02:45 1.81x +$8.09trade 4 at 18 Oct 04:55 0.72x -$2.81trade 5 at 18 Oct 04:56 0.65x -$3.46trade 6 at 18 Oct 18:17 0.66x -$3.41trade 7 at 18 Oct 19:18 0.00x -$10.00trade 8 at 18 Oct 20:43 3.45x +$24.51trade 9 at 18 Oct 22:31 1.58x +$5.81trade 10 at 18 Oct 22:51 1.19x +$1.93trade 11 at 18 Oct 23:56 0.00x -$10.00trade 12 at 19 Oct 05:25 0.75x -$2.53trade 13 at 19 Oct 14:45 0.74x -$2.57trade 14 at 19 Oct 19:29 0.67x -$3.35trade 15 at 19 Oct 19:35 0.00x -$10.00trade 16 at 19 Oct 19:56 0.00x -$10.00trade 17 at 19 Oct 21:09 0.00x -$10.00trade 18 at 19 Oct 23:54 2.35x +$13.45trade 19 at 20 Oct 00:25 1.06x +$0.64trade 20 at 20 Oct 00:36 2.70x +$17.01trade 21 at 20 Oct 02:08 0.00x -$10.00trade 22 at 20 Oct 02:25 1.90x +$9.03trade 23 at 20 Oct 04:39 0.69x -$3.05trade 24 at 20 Oct 06:33 0.00x -$10.00trade 25 at 20 Oct 06:53 1.56x +$5.61trade 26 at 20 Oct 15:48 0.00x -$10.0017 Oct18 Oct19 Oct20 Oct21 Oct
Every trade (exit rule W)
#PoolTimeInWhy soldResult
260x0dbd61e25e37c12c8a1884a5f9bd4f425416d1a520 Oct 15:48$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
250xe5e95519c086f2a3126fe50da696271e64c1ca0f20 Oct 06:53$10trail1.56x (+56.1%)
+$5.61
240x5ea22308f367ec3a2e1e8b531b58c2865081bb8220 Oct 06:33$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
230xe52ab4492acd04a022b598e445c44c2dc835fdd520 Oct 04:39$10trail0.69x (-30.5%)
-$3.05
220x1bd6a0a6cb8dfcacaf9b32ffb92cc9bc11168ba220 Oct 02:25$10trail1.90x (+90.3%)
+$9.03
210xaee37013d9351579cfb2f216bb6a93043eb9ed9520 Oct 02:08$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
200x0e147a0efc8141085354d1290f15afda4fd9024520 Oct 00:36$10trail2.70x (+170.1%)
+$17.01
190xa5890e3396b6b90097a41dd6f67fc62fe47c4ddf20 Oct 00:25$10trail1.06x (+6.4%)
+$0.64
180x58ce70722df17a51bb4f2ef83bcdcfe21e0ae5fb19 Oct 23:54$10trail2.35x (+134.5%)
+$13.45
170x046d735e4b210e182c693c9446e31c3b0a076f4719 Oct 21:09$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
160xdfd87b7321ab987e06d45d5856c43e48692d52f119 Oct 19:56$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
150x9f7a06d3e66d2c6db58a28543516423e660567cb19 Oct 19:35$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
140xd9accfef29c847ca41066069c0f17a7a1dfa170519 Oct 19:29$10trail0.67x (-33.5%)
-$3.35
130x64eca250303ada2a8d19c5e15d997bc2649f563e19 Oct 14:45$10trail0.74x (-25.7%)
-$2.57
120xbc85bcb6ba02fed34e7c09dcdf707e876670e17f19 Oct 05:25$10trail0.75x (-25.3%)
-$2.53
110xfd81d9e43ef082dfe1d56e408504e05e860355a518 Oct 23:56$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
100xa05c2aa2fb2678be0f5b7b8744ead6a6eac0229518 Oct 22:51$10trail1.19x (+19.3%)
+$1.93
90x457fce33e5ce7c01de68b3760aacbb07a1ed8cbf18 Oct 22:31$10trail1.58x (+58.1%)
+$5.81
80x38d1b23fc84d27b24c97a90ef93a8bb8181609e618 Oct 20:43$10trail3.45x (+245.1%)
+$24.51
70xae59326f98b597a0f27de46cc3f8b264070602ed18 Oct 19:18$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
60xe24d643c3efaccd25a137147b73dda647adef31818 Oct 18:17$10trail0.66x (-34.1%)
-$3.41
50x0e5a8ae81e0add2edbb9b16b388abb06365ac95618 Oct 04:56$10trail0.65x (-34.6%)
-$3.46
40x0304a03a33af85acc042204f263dd1a1a69cc3d518 Oct 04:55$10trail0.72x (-28.1%)
-$2.81
30x7e3fb862ad3f0837c6711d7a3b8f7641f345f48b18 Oct 02:45$10trail1.81x (+80.9%)
+$8.09
20x759d7a03487f0b1d4afcd2f02146b3cb8890b4fa17 Oct 23:25$10trail0.92x (-8.0%)
-$0.80
10xd55bc994827bf1fc4d95424a5e8f2e7e5c24363217 Oct 22:09$10trail1.06x (+5.8%)
+$0.58
Full Test Manager report