v3 cap-continuation 1-1.5M FRESH WIDE

Testmgr4 · miss family (capc variant) · paper, $10 a trade, since 21 Oct · idea #728 · updated 23 Oct 03:23 Bangkok, refreshes every minute.

Not verified yet: treat these numbers as unproven

Waiting for: fwd n>=15

Still open:

Paper run, no real money

Test Manager forward test on research-box. Kill rule: mean<1.0x with upper80<1.05 at fwd n>=20; decide by 25 Oct. Live only after 2 profitable days without bugs; only Ben switches.

Total P&L
+$13.56
Trades done
3
1 up, 2 down
Best trade
3.4x
Exit rule shown
H
cross 1-1.5M, pool age<=180m, stop .5 trail 70%

Replay of past coins (not in the numbers above): 119 trades, mean 1.27x, +$323.36 at $10. Backtest, no forward evidence.

P&L over time (US dollars, Bangkok time)

Each step is a trade with exit rule H, numbered in time order.

$0$10$20trade 1 at 21 Oct 01:19 0.47x -$5.31#1trade 2 at 21 Oct 02:15 3.39x +$23.94#2trade 3 at 22 Oct 05:07 0.49x -$5.07#321 Oct21 Oct22 Oct22 Oct23 Oct
Every trade (exit rule H)
#PoolTimeInWhy soldResult
30xad7ff23810f149d0900987f2b74790ee6723cda622 Oct 05:07$10trail0.49x (-50.7%)
-$5.07
20x55e0a094ca5d911bcddaea0d4d2751aca668cb8321 Oct 02:15$10time3.39x (+239.4%)
+$23.94
10xacb29aa89d89091f522bb32b6a6fc8ceacfa57ee21 Oct 01:19$10trail0.47x (-53.1%)
-$5.31
Full Test Manager report
# v3cx1 paper (testmgr4) 22 Oct 20:23 UTC
1-1.5M FRESH (age<=180m) WIDE exit hunt 3-5M. Open legs 1.
- H: n 122, mean 1.28x, median 0.47x, win 19, pull 1, time 17